Result
 
                    2:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        13/09/2025 at  10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Eerste Divisie - Round 5
- Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1 | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.52 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 54% | 46% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 9 | 4 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 1 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 82% (224/274) | 80% (191/239) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.52 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.00 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 9 | 4 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 2 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 1 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 11 | 7 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 5 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 82% (224/274) | 80% (191/239) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 31% (10/32) | 42% (14/33) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 68% (43/63) | 60% (39/65) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 18% (2/11) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.44 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 9 | 13 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 5 | 6 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 80% (8/10) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 28 | 23 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 25 | 11 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.10 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.10 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Llonch P. 🟨, 
- 41', 1 - 0, Triep J. ⚽, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Dizdarevic A. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑, 
- 46', Van Den Eynden F. ↓, Vos D. ↑, 
- 62', 2 - 0, Ait Mouhou N. ⚽, van Zijl B. (A), 
- 62', Davis M. ↓, Mokono S. ↑, 
- 62', Joosten T. ↓, Verheij L. ↑, 
- 66', Leipold A. ↓, Essakkati T. ↑, 
- 66', Lukowicz M. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑, 
- 71', Odriss M. ↓, Foor N. ↑, 
- 71', van Zijl B. ↓, van Oorschot D. ↑, 
- 77', Eijgenraam J. ↓, Kluskens J. ↑, 
- 82', Absalem A. ↓, Poll T. ↑, 
- 86', 2 - 1, Bajrami L. ⚽, Daneels L. (A), 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | VVV-Venlo 42.3%
 | Draw 26.1%
 | Helmond Sport 31.6%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+2.9%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.22 ↓ (2.32)
 | 3.57 ↑ (3.4)
 | 2.91 ↑ (2.57)
 | 7.4% (11.4%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 1.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Helmond Sport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Venlo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Venlo: Timber D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Venlo: Saddiki D.
(Injury)
Triep J.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 40:29. (average 2.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 2.5:1.6).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has VVV-Venlo won against Helmond Sport?
                    
                    
                        
                            VVV-Venlo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against VVV-Venlo?
                    
                    
                        
                             Helmond Sport has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport were as follows:
                                                        
                                13.04.2025 
                                VVV-Venlo 
                                - 
                                Helmond Sport 
                                4:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                30.08.2024 
                                Helmond Sport 
                                - 
                                VVV-Venlo 
                                3:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                01.03.2024 
                                Helmond Sport 
                                - 
                                VVV-Venlo 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                01.10.2023 
                                VVV-Venlo 
                                - 
                                Helmond Sport 
                                0:4
                            
        
                                                        
                                05.05.2023 
                                Helmond Sport 
                                - 
                                VVV-Venlo 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of VVV-Venlo                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Helmond Sport                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Den Haag | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35:8 | 27 | 34 | 
| 2 | Cambuur | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:17 | 9 | 27 | 
| 3 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25:16 | 9 | 25 | 
| 4 | Jong PSV | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25:21 | 4 | 21 | 
| 5 | Waalwijk | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 | 
| 6 | Willem II | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | 
| 7 | Den Bosch | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24:27 | -3 | 20 | 
| 8 | Dordrecht | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 | 
| 9 | Venlo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 19:18 | 1 | 18 | 
| 10 | De Graafschap | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 16 | 
| 11 | FC Emmen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 16 | 
| 12 | Helmond | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 | 
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 15 | 
| 14 | Maastricht | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 | 
| 15 | Jong AZ | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 14 | 
| 16 | Oss | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 14 | 
| 17 | Almere City | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 11 | 
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:27 | -18 | 11 | 
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 8 | 
| 20 | Vitesse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 3 | 
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