Waalwijk vs MVV Maastricht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 17
  • Referee: Vos M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.661.03
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
86% (459/532)81% (358/441)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.661.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.830.34
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
3425
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1714
Passes
86% (459/532)81% (358/441)
Long passes
61% (36/59)51% (35/69)
Passes in final third
77% (123/159)74% (100/136)
Crosses
30% (7/23)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.501.11
Throw-ins
1916
Fouls
1417
Tackles
81% (13/16)72% (18/25)
Duels won
5960
Clearances
2322
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.341.83
Goals prevented
0.340.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Cleonise D. ,
  • 21', Coomans W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Coomans W. , Zaian A. ,
  • 54', Sy K. 🟨,
  • 59', Cleonise D. , Kuijpers R. ,
  • 70', Camil Mmaee , Braken S. ,
  • 70', Klaasen R. , Pawirodihardjo J. ,
  • 79', Held N. , van der Leij T. ,
  • 79', Uneken J. , van der Venne R. ,
  • 83', El Basri N. , Asante D. ,
  • 83', Sy K. , Tran L. M. ,
  • 85', Lokesa C. , Panneflek O. ,
  • 86', Kuster H. , Roemeratoe G. ,
  • 90+2', van der Venne R. 🟨,
  • 90+6', van der Leij T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Waalwijk
71.3%
Draw
16.7%
MVV Maastricht
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.7% 20% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2% 19.5% 16.9%

Waalwijk - MVV Maastricht Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.33
(1.49)
5.62
(4.66)
7.79
(5.41)
5.9%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Waalwijk - MVV Maastricht?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Maastricht will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2.
    • Waalwijk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Maastricht is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Waalwijk is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Waalwijk: van Gelderen L. (Knock)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    21.11.2025 FC Oss - Waalwijk 0:0
    09.11.2025 Waalwijk - De Graafschap 1:4
    02.11.2025 Emmen - Waalwijk 2:2
    29.10.2025 Waalwijk - Cambuur 3:2
    24.10.2025 Waalwijk - Cambuur 4:2
    Latest results of MVV Maastricht
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag21171357:233452
    2Cambuur22155248:232550
    3De Graafschap22114742:35737
    4Almere City22112947:351235
    5Roda2298538:32635
    6Jong PSV22104844:44034
    7Willem II2296729:30-133
    8Den Bosch221021041:41032
    9Waalwijk2286834:34030
    10Venlo221001229:33-430
    11Jong Utrecht2285938:40-229
    12FC Emmen22841039:43-428
    13Eindhoven FC22831129:43-1427
    14Dordrecht2267927:32-525
    15Helmond22741131:38-725
    16Maastricht22741127:41-1425
    17Oss2258930:37-723
    18Jong AZ23721436:46-1023
    19Jong Ajax23371331:45-1416
    20Vitesse2176833:35-215

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )