Waalwijk vs MVV Maastricht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 17
  • Referee: Vos M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.661.03
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
86% (459/532)81% (358/441)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.661.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.830.34
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
3425
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1714
Passes
86% (459/532)81% (358/441)
Long passes
61% (36/59)51% (35/69)
Passes in final third
77% (123/159)74% (100/136)
Crosses
30% (7/23)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.501.11
Throw-ins
1916
Fouls
1417
Tackles
81% (13/16)72% (18/25)
Duels won
5960
Clearances
2322
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.341.83
Goals prevented
0.340.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Cleonise D. ,
  • 21', Coomans W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Coomans W. , Zaian A. ,
  • 54', Sy K. 🟨,
  • 59', Cleonise D. , Kuijpers R. ,
  • 70', Camil Mmaee , Braken S. ,
  • 70', Klaasen R. , Pawirodihardjo J. ,
  • 79', Held N. , van der Leij T. ,
  • 79', Uneken J. , van der Venne R. ,
  • 83', El Basri N. , Asante D. ,
  • 83', Sy K. , Tran L. M. ,
  • 85', Lokesa C. , Panneflek O. ,
  • 86', Kuster H. , Roemeratoe G. ,
  • 90+2', van der Venne R. 🟨,
  • 90+6', van der Leij T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Waalwijk
71.3%
Draw
16.7%
MVV Maastricht
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.7% 20% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2% 19.5% 16.9%

Waalwijk - MVV Maastricht Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.33
(1.49)
5.62
(4.66)
7.79
(5.41)
5.9%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Waalwijk - MVV Maastricht?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Maastricht will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2.
    • Waalwijk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Maastricht is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Waalwijk is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Waalwijk: van Gelderen L. (Knock)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    21.11.2025 FC Oss - Waalwijk 0:0
    09.11.2025 Waalwijk - De Graafschap 1:4
    02.11.2025 Emmen - Waalwijk 2:2
    29.10.2025 Waalwijk - Cambuur 3:2
    24.10.2025 Waalwijk - Cambuur 4:2
    Latest results of MVV Maastricht
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag25182562:293356
    2Cambuur23155350:262450
    3Jong PSV26134954:48643
    4De Graafschap26126849:40942
    5Almere City251231053:411239
    6Willem II25116834:34039
    7Roda26109743:40339
    8Waalwijk26107943:40337
    9Dordrecht26107937:36137
    10Venlo261121335:39-435
    11Den Bosch261041245:48-334
    12Jong Utrecht2588944:46-232
    13Eindhoven FC25941235:45-1031
    14Maastricht26861232:50-1830
    15FC Emmen23851040:44-429
    16Helmond26851333:45-1229
    17Jong AZ26821644:53-926
    18Oss26681233:44-1126
    19Vitesse2698939:40-123
    20Jong Ajax25471433:50-1719

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )