Result
1:0
25/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 17
- Referee: Vos M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (459/532) | 81% (358/441) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (459/532) | 81% (358/441) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (36/59) | 51% (35/69) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 77% (123/159) | 74% (100/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 72% (18/25) |
| Duels won |
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| 59 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
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| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Cleonise D. ⚽,
- 21', Coomans W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Coomans W. ↓, Zaian A. ↑,
- 54', Sy K. 🟨,
- 59', Cleonise D. ↓, Kuijpers R. ↑,
- 70', Camil Mmaee ↓, Braken S. ↑,
- 70', Klaasen R. ↓, Pawirodihardjo J. ↑,
- 79', Held N. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
- 79', Uneken J. ↓, van der Venne R. ↑,
- 83', El Basri N. ↓, Asante D. ↑,
- 83', Sy K. ↓, Tran L. M. ↑,
- 85', Lokesa C. ↓, Panneflek O. ↑,
- 86', Kuster H. ↓, Roemeratoe G. ↑,
- 90+2', van der Venne R. 🟨,
- 90+6', van der Leij T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Waalwijk
71.3% | Draw
16.7% | MVV Maastricht
12% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Waalwijk's performance.MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and MVV Maastricht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Waalwijk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Waalwijk - MVV Maastricht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.49) |
5.62 ↑
(4.66) |
7.79 ↑
(5.41) |
5.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Waalwijk - MVV Maastricht?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Maastricht will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2.
- Waalwijk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Maastricht is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Waalwijk is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Waalwijk: van Gelderen L.
(Knock)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against MVV Maastricht?
Waalwijk has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Waalwijk?
MVV Maastricht has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - MVV Maastricht were as follows:
Latest results of Waalwijk
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 57:30 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 58:47 | 11 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
