Willem II vs Almere City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/03/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg).

Eredivisie - Round 27
Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.67	1.94
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
14	19
Shots on target
5	5
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
8	5
Passes
84% (369/438)	85% (345/406)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67	1.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.84	1.64
Total shots
14	19
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
7	6
Blocked Shots
2	8
Shots inside the Box
5	13
Shots outside the Box
9	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
8	5
Touches in opposition box
18	31
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
10	6
Passes
84% (369/438)	85% (345/406)
Long passes
52% (29/56)	53% (28/53)
Passes in final third
76% (101/133)	77% (108/140)
Crosses
17% (4/24)	50% (9/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.53	1.76
Fouls
6	10
Tackles
88% (7/8)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
39	35
Clearances Total
22	36
Interceptions
7	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	5
xGOT faced
1.64	0.84
Goals prevented
-0.36	0.84

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Brym C. ⚽,
32', Vaesen K. 🟥,
35', Akujobi H. 🟨,
39', Doodeman N. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
40', Sylla Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Akujobi H. ↓, Martins M. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Martins M. ⚽, Zagaritis V. (A),
62', Joosten P. ↓, Kehrer E. ↑,
76', Schouten E. 🟨,
77', Lachkar A. ↓, Ahmed Fatah A. ↑,
83', Hansen K. ↓, Nalic A. ↑,
83', Kadile J. ↓, Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↑,
83', Tahiri A. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
84', Martins M. 🟨,
90', Brym C. ↓, Guillaume B. ↑,

Chances of winning

Willem II
36.2%

Draw
28.9%

Almere City
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

27%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

26.6%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Willem II's form might have worsened.

Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Almere City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Willem II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Almere City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Willem II - Almere City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.06)	3.27 ↓ (3.5)	2.72 ↓ (3.48)	5.7% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Willem II - Almere City?

Users Predictions: Willem II will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Willem II won 3.
Willem II has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Almere City is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Almere City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Willem II: Bokila J. (Yellow Cards) Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Sigurgeirsson R. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Almere City: Carbonell A. (Hamstring Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Willem II won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:5 (average 2.1:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Willem II won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:3 (average 3.7:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Almere City?

Willem II has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against Willem II?

Almere City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Almere City were as follows:

04.10.2024 Almere City - Willem II 0:1

15.01.2023 Almere City - Willem II 1:0

21.10.2022 Willem II - Almere City 1:1

Latest results of Willem II

16.03.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - Willem II 1:0 ✺

09.03.2025 Willem II - Utrecht 2:3 ✺

02.03.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Willem II 4:0 ✺

15.02.2025 Willem II - Groningen 1:3 ✺

08.02.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Willem II 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Almere City

14.03.2025 Almere City - NAC Breda 1:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Twente - Almere City 1:0 ✺

02.03.2025 Almere City - Ajax 0:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Feyenoord - Almere City 2:1 ✺

16.02.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Almere City 2:2 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sittard	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Telstar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	FC Volendam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Zwolle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	PSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	NAC Breda	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Twente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Heerenveen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Nijmegen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Sparta Rotterdam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Heracles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Excelsior	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	G.A. Eagles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Groningen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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