Roda vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/04/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Parkstad Limburg Stadion (Kerkrade).

Eerste Divisie - Round 35
Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.31	0.98
Ball possession
57%	43%
Total shots
6	14
Shots on target
1	6
Big chances
0	2
Corner kicks
3	8
Passes
85% (407/478)	78% (287/370)
Yellow cards
2	0
Expected goals (xG)
0.31	0.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.02	0.78
Total shots
6	14
Shots on target
1	6
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked shots
0	3
Shots inside the box
1	7
Shots outside the box
5	7
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	2
Corner kicks
3	8
Touches in opposition box
20	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
17	10
Passes
85% (407/478)	78% (287/370)
Long passes
42% (21/50)	42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
72% (101/140)	62% (60/97)
Crosses
14% (3/22)	19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.31	0.61
Throw ins
11	22
Fouls
10	17
Tackles
78% (7/9)	65% (11/17)
Duels won
30	50
Clearances
20	24
Interceptions
10	3
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	1
xGOT faced
0.78	0.02
Goals prevented
-0.22	0.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Doodeman N. ⚽,
33', Tol M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Griffith I. ↓, Seedorf C. ↑,
56', Beerten L. ↓, Deom J. ↑,
56', Jansen K. ↓, El Meliani R. ↑,
68', Breij M. ↓, Paulissen M. ↑,
78', Scheepens K. ↓, Stam F. ↑,
79', Verheydt T. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
82', Muller J. P. ↓, Janssen F. ↑,
87', El Allouchi M. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
88', Kruiver J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Roda
42.8%

Draw
24.9%

Willem II
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

24.3%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

24.2%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-1%)

Roda - Willem II Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.07)	3.71 ↓ (3.8)	2.87 ↓ (2.97)	7.6% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Roda - Willem II?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Willem II will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Willem II (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Willem II (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Roda (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Roda (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Willem II (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 2.
Recent performances by Roda have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Willem II is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Willem II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Roda: Kother T. (Knee Injury) Schwirten J. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Schuurman J. (Knock) Tjoe a On N. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Willem II: Ciranni A. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Roda won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Roda won against Willem II?

Roda has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Roda?

Willem II has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Roda - Willem II were as follows:

03.10.2025 Willem II - Roda 1:2

23.07.2024 Willem II - Roda Canceled

23.02.2024 Willem II - Roda 2:3

21.10.2023 Roda - Willem II 0:1

19.05.2023 Roda - Willem II 2:2

Latest results of Roda

03.04.2026 Dordrecht - Roda 0:3 ✺

20.03.2026 Roda - Helmond Sport 1:1 ✺

16.03.2026 Roda - Vitesse 0:1 ✺

13.03.2026 Cambuur - Roda 1:1 ✺

06.03.2026 Roda - Jong PSV 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Willem II

03.04.2026 Willem II - Jong PSV 1:0 ✺

28.03.2026 Willem II - De Graafschap 0:2 ✺

22.03.2026 MVV Maastricht - Willem II 0:5 ✺

13.03.2026 FC Oss - Willem II 1:3 ✺

08.03.2026 Willem II - Den Bosch 1:1 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag	38	29	2	7	90:37	53	89
2	Cambuur	38	23	9	6	75:48	27	78
3	Willem II	38	20	8	10	59:42	17	68
4	De Graafschap	38	18	9	11	74:58	16	63
5	Almere City	38	18	4	16	78:63	15	58
6	Waalwijk	38	16	10	12	71:59	12	58
7	Jong PSV	38	17	5	16	66:64	2	56
8	Roda	38	14	13	11	59:54	5	55
9	Den Bosch	38	14	9	15	65:69	-4	51
10	Dordrecht	38	12	11	15	48:56	-8	47
11	Eindhoven FC	38	14	5	19	51:69	-18	47
12	Jong Utrecht	38	12	10	16	58:62	-4	46
13	Venlo	38	13	6	19	50:58	-8	45
14	FC Emmen	38	12	9	17	58:72	-14	45
15	Vitesse	38	15	11	12	64:55	9	44
16	Oss	38	11	11	16	54:64	-10	44
17	Jong AZ	38	12	4	22	61:76	-15	40
18	Helmond	38	10	9	19	42:62	-20	39
19	Maastricht	38	9	11	18	41:73	-32	38
20	Jong Ajax	38	9	8	21	50:73	-23	35

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )