Result
3:1
04/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 28
- Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.74 | 1.42 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
22 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
81% (333/410) | 86% (376/439) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.74 | 1.42 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.58 | 0.80 |
Total shots |
---|
22 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 18 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
81% (333/410) | 86% (376/439) |
Long passes |
---|
40% (19/47) | 58% (31/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
74% (84/114) | 75% (73/97) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (6/25) | 47% (8/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.23 | 1.64 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
78% (18/23) | 42% (8/19) |
Duels won |
---|
55 | 53 |
Clearances Total |
---|
22 | 29 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.80 | 3.58 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.20 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Nicolaescu I. ⚽, Brouwers L. (A),
- 32', 2 - 0, Kersten S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Doodeman N. ↓, Kehrer E. ↑,
- 46', Brouwers L. ↓, van Ee E. ↑,
- 64', Sigurgeirsson R. ↓, Nizet R. ↑,
- 64', Joosten P. ↓, Ahmed Fatah A. ↑,
- 66', 3 - 0, Sebaoui I. ⚽, van Ee E. (A),
- 72', Nicolaescu I. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 1, Bosch J. ⚽, Kehrer E. (A),
- 79', Sebaoui I. ↓, Trenskow J. ↑,
- 81', Lachkar A. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
- 88', Behounek R. 🟨,
- 89', Jahanbakhsh A. ↓, Gurbuz E. ↑,
- 89', Linday M. ↓, Conde A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Heerenveen 62.9% | Draw 22.4% | Willem II 14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heerenveen's performance.Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Willem II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heerenveen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Willem II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Heerenveen - Willem II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.51 ↓ (1.77) |
4.22 ↑ (3.89) |
6.53 ↑ (4.18) |
5.3% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Heerenveen - Willem II?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Users Predictions:
Heerenveen will win
(15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 3.
- Recent matches Heerenveen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Willem II has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Heerenveen is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P.
(Knee Injury)
Braude O.
(Yellow Cards)
Nunnely C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Willem II: Lambert B.
(Inactive)
Mathieu D.
(Knee Injury)
Sandra C.
(Inactive)
Tirpan M.
(Inactive)
Vaesen K.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Heerenveen: Trenskow J.
(Knock)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 37:25 (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Heerenveen won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22:11 (average 2.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Willem II?
Heerenveen has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Heerenveen?
Willem II has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - Willem II were as follows:
08.12.2024
Willem II
-
Heerenveen
1:2
Latest results of Heerenveen
Latest results of Willem II
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | G.A. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie