Heerenveen vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
04/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 28
  • Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.741.42
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
2213
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
81% (333/410)86% (376/439)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.741.42
xG on target (xGOT)
3.580.80
Total shots
2213
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
1410
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
2618
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
712
Passes
81% (333/410)86% (376/439)
Long passes
40% (19/47)58% (31/53)
Passes in final third
74% (84/114)75% (73/97)
Crosses
24% (6/25)47% (8/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.231.64
Fouls
127
Tackles
78% (18/23)42% (8/19)
Duels won
5553
Clearances Total
2229
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.803.58
Goals prevented
-0.200.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Nicolaescu I. , Brouwers L. (A),
  • 32', 2 - 0, Kersten S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Doodeman N. , Kehrer E. ,
  • 46', Brouwers L. , van Ee E. ,
  • 64', Sigurgeirsson R. , Nizet R. ,
  • 64', Joosten P. , Ahmed Fatah A. ,
  • 66', 3 - 0, Sebaoui I. , van Ee E. (A),
  • 72', Nicolaescu I. , Rallis D. ,
  • 75', 3 - 1, Bosch J. , Kehrer E. (A),
  • 79', Sebaoui I. , Trenskow J. ,
  • 81', Lachkar A. , Sylla Y. ,
  • 88', Behounek R. 🟨,
  • 89', Jahanbakhsh A. , Gurbuz E. ,
  • 89', Linday M. , Conde A. ,

Chances of winning


Heerenveen
62.9%
Draw
22.4%
Willem II
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 24.2% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 23.9% 22.2%

Heerenveen - Willem II Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.51
(1.77)
4.22
(3.89)
6.53
(4.18)
5.3%
(6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Heerenveen - Willem II?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Users Predictions: Heerenveen will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.11%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 3.
    • Recent matches Heerenveen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Willem II has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Heerenveen is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P. (Knee Injury) Braude O. (Yellow Cards) Nunnely C. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Willem II: Lambert B. (Inactive) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Sandra C. (Inactive) Tirpan M. (Inactive) Vaesen K. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Heerenveen: Trenskow J. (Knock)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 37:25 (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Heerenveen won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22:11 (average 2.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - Willem II were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Willem II - Heerenveen 1:2
    Latest results of Heerenveen
    30.03.2025 Utrecht - Heerenveen 2:0
    08.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen 2:1
    02.03.2025 Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar 3:1
    16.02.2025 Zwolle - Heerenveen 1:1
    Latest results of Willem II
    29.03.2025 Willem II - Almere City 0:2
    09.03.2025 Willem II - Utrecht 2:3
    15.02.2025 Willem II - Groningen 1:3
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV18161157:223549
    2Feyenoord18113444:232136
    3Ajax1896335:241133
    4Nijmegen1785443:291429
    5AZ Alkmaar1784532:28428
    6Groningen1884625:22328
    7Twente1868427:22526
    8Sparta Rotterdam1882820:31-1126
    9Heerenveen1866631:28324
    10Utrecht1765628:23523
    11Sittard1864827:31-422
    12G.A. Eagles1848628:31-320
    13Zwolle1855822:39-1720
    14Excelsior17611017:32-1519
    15Telstar1836922:30-815
    16NAC Breda18351016:26-1014
    17FC Volendam18351019:32-1314
    18Heracles18421226:46-2014

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