Heerenveen vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
04/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 28
  • Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.741.42
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
2213
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
81% (333/410)86% (376/439)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.741.42
xG on target (xGOT)
3.580.80
Total shots
2213
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
1410
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
2618
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
712
Passes
81% (333/410)86% (376/439)
Long passes
40% (19/47)58% (31/53)
Passes in final third
74% (84/114)75% (73/97)
Crosses
24% (6/25)47% (8/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.231.64
Fouls
127
Tackles
78% (18/23)42% (8/19)
Duels won
5553
Clearances Total
2229
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.803.58
Goals prevented
-0.200.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Nicolaescu I. , Brouwers L. (A),
  • 32', 2 - 0, Kersten S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Doodeman N. , Kehrer E. ,
  • 46', Brouwers L. , van Ee E. ,
  • 64', Sigurgeirsson R. , Nizet R. ,
  • 64', Joosten P. , Ahmed Fatah A. ,
  • 66', 3 - 0, Sebaoui I. , van Ee E. (A),
  • 72', Nicolaescu I. , Rallis D. ,
  • 75', 3 - 1, Bosch J. , Kehrer E. (A),
  • 79', Sebaoui I. , Trenskow J. ,
  • 81', Lachkar A. , Sylla Y. ,
  • 88', Behounek R. 🟨,
  • 89', Jahanbakhsh A. , Gurbuz E. ,
  • 89', Linday M. , Conde A. ,

Chances of winning


Heerenveen
62.9%
Draw
22.4%
Willem II
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 24.2% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 23.9% 22.2%

Heerenveen - Willem II Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.51
(1.77)
4.22
(3.89)
6.53
(4.18)
5.3%
(6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Heerenveen - Willem II?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Heerenveen (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Heerenveen will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.11%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Heerenveen will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 3.
    • Recent matches Heerenveen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Willem II has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Heerenveen is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P. (Knee Injury) Braude O. (Yellow Cards) Nunnely C. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Willem II: Lambert B. (Inactive) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Sandra C. (Inactive) Tirpan M. (Inactive) Vaesen K. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Heerenveen: Trenskow J. (Knock)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 37:25 (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Heerenveen won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22:11 (average 2.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - Willem II were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Willem II - Heerenveen 1:2
    Latest results of Heerenveen
    30.03.2025 Utrecht - Heerenveen 2:0
    08.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen 2:1
    02.03.2025 Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar 3:1
    16.02.2025 Zwolle - Heerenveen 1:1
    Latest results of Willem II
    29.03.2025 Willem II - Almere City 0:2
    09.03.2025 Willem II - Utrecht 2:3
    15.02.2025 Willem II - Groningen 1:3
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV21182164:253956
    2Feyenoord21123651:321939
    3Nijmegen20115452:341838
    4Ajax21108341:281338
    5Sparta Rotterdam21112827:34-735
    6AZ Alkmaar2195736:35132
    7Twente21710431:24731
    8Groningen2194828:26231
    9Zwolle2175930:43-1326
    10Heerenveen2067732:31125
    11Sittard21741031:36-525
    12Utrecht2066830:27324
    13Excelsior21651022:37-1523
    14G.A. Eagles20410631:34-322
    15FC Volendam21461122:36-1418
    16Heracles21521430:53-2317
    17NAC Breda21371123:34-1116
    18Telstar21371125:37-1216

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