Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie Jong AZ Alkmaar - Willem II
Result
4:0
20/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 12
  • Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.47
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
85% (411/486)86% (378/442)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.47
xG on target (xGOT)
2.810.88
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2913
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
810
Passes
85% (411/486)86% (378/442)
Long passes
58% (45/77)58% (36/62)
Passes in final third
71% (90/127)68% (64/94)
Crosses
33% (3/9)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.50
Throw-ins
1519
Fouls
108
Tackles
79% (11/14)80% (8/10)
Duels won
4441
Clearances
1815
Interceptions
1013
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
0.882.81
Goals prevented
0.88-1.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Boogaard K. , Kwakman D. (A),
  • 34', 2 - 0, van Duijn S. , Toppenberg K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Doodeman N. , Kehrer E. ,
  • 46', Zeefuik L. , van den Ban Y. ,
  • 46', Culum A. , Bamba S. ,
  • 50', Toppenberg K. 🟨,
  • 63', Kwakman D. , Smits A. ,
  • 64', El Allouchi M. , Baartmans S. ,
  • 67', 3 - 0, Toppenberg K. , Smits A. (A),
  • 74', Zwart J. 🟨,
  • 74', Stam F. , Mathijsen J. ,
  • 74', Toppenberg K. , van der Klaauw D. ,
  • 78', Zwart J. , Hamdi Y. ,
  • 87', 4 - 0, van Duijn S. , Boogaard K. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong AZ Alkmaar
33.2%
Draw
24.8%
Willem II
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 24.8% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 24.3% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Jong AZ Alkmaar - Willem II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (2.44)
    3.82
    (3.7)
    2.27
    (2.44)
    6%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Jong AZ Alkmaar - Willem II?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Willem II will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 53.9%93.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Jong AZ (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Willem II (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Willem II (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • Jong AZ is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Willem II is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) van Berkel N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Jong AZ: Inge K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J. (Knock)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.8:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong AZ Alkmaar - Willem II were as follows:
    12.04.2024 Willem II - Jong AZ Alkmaar 4:1
    29.09.2023 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Willem II 0:2
    06.03.2023 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Willem II 2:2
    16.09.2022 Willem II - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:0
    Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
    Latest results of Willem II
    17.10.2025 Waalwijk - Willem II 2:3
    03.10.2025 Willem II - Roda 1:2
    30.09.2025 Willem II - Helmond Sport 1:0
    27.09.2025 Vitesse - Willem II 1:2
    19.09.2025 Willem II - Jong Ajax 1:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag12111035:82734
    2Cambuur1383226:17927
    3Roda1374225:16925
    4Jong PSV1363425:21421
    5Waalwijk1363424:20421
    6Willem II1363417:21-421
    7Den Bosch1362524:27-320
    8Dordrecht1354418:17119
    9Venlo1360719:18118
    10De Graafschap1244419:19016
    11FC Emmen1351722:25-316
    12Helmond1351716:19-316
    13Jong Utrecht1343616:21-515
    14Maastricht1343615:21-615
    15Jong AZ1342721:24-314
    16Oss1335518:24-614
    17Almere City1332823:23011
    18Eindhoven FC133289:27-1811
    19Jong Ajax1315719:26-78
    20Vitesse1143422:1933

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )