Result
4:0
20/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 12
- Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (411/486) | 86% (378/442) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (411/486) | 86% (378/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (45/77) | 58% (36/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (90/127) | 68% (64/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 2.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.88 | -1.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Boogaard K. ⚽, Kwakman D. (A),
- 34', 2 - 0, van Duijn S. ⚽, Toppenberg K. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Doodeman N. ↓, Kehrer E. ↑,
- 46', Zeefuik L. ↓, van den Ban Y. ↑,
- 46', Culum A. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
- 50', Toppenberg K. 🟨,
- 63', Kwakman D. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
- 64', El Allouchi M. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
- 67', 3 - 0, Toppenberg K. ⚽, Smits A. (A),
- 74', Zwart J. 🟨,
- 74', Stam F. ↓, Mathijsen J. ↑,
- 74', Toppenberg K. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,
- 78', Zwart J. ↓, Hamdi Y. ↑,
- 87', 4 - 0, van Duijn S. ⚽, Boogaard K. (A),
Chances of winning
Jong AZ Alkmaar
33.2% | Draw
24.8% | Willem II
42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Jong AZ Alkmaar - Willem II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↑
(2.44) |
3.82 ↑
(3.7) |
2.27 ↓
(2.44) |
6%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Jong AZ Alkmaar - Willem II?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Willem II will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 53.9% – 93.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Jong AZ (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Willem II (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Willem II (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- Jong AZ is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Willem II is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Mathieu D.
(Knee Injury)
van Berkel N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Jong AZ: Inge K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J.
(Knock)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.8:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against Willem II?
Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Willem II has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong AZ Alkmaar - Willem II were as follows:
12.04.2024
Willem II
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4:1
29.09.2023
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Willem II
0:2
06.03.2023
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Willem II
2:2
16.09.2022
Willem II
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:0
Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of Willem II
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35:8 | 27 | 34 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:17 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25:16 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25:21 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Waalwijk | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Willem II | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:21 | -4 | 21 |
| 7 | Den Bosch | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24:27 | -3 | 20 |
| 8 | Dordrecht | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Venlo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 19:18 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | De Graafschap | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | FC Emmen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Helmond | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Maastricht | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 15 | Jong AZ | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Oss | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 | Almere City | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 11 |
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:27 | -18 | 11 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
