Result
1:2
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 10
- Referee: Higler D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | ESPN 4, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (434/503) | 82% (345/419) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (434/503) | 82% (345/419) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (31/63) | 52% (31/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (109/145) | 72% (87/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.87 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', Hoogma J. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Verheydt T. ⚽, Doodeman N. (A),
- 41', 1 - 1, van den Hurk A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Stam F. ↓, Ciranni A. ↑,
- 61', El Allouchi M. ↓, Zarrouk A. ↑,
- 61', Bamba S. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
- 67', Breij M. ↓, Cooper-Love J. ↑,
- 67', van den Hurk A. ↓, Griffith I. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 2, Seedorf C. ⚽, Cooper-Love J. (A),
- 77', Schwirten J. ↓, Beerten L. ↑,
- 77', Seedorf C. ↓, Maiorano L. ↑,
- 80', Besselink G. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
- 80', Doodeman N. ↓, van Loon P. ↑,
- 88', Nisbet J. ↓, Foss J. ↑,
- 89', Treichel J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Willem II
42.6% | Draw
26.8% | Roda
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Willem II - Roda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(2.13) |
3.45 ↓
(3.6) |
3.08 ↑
(2.98) |
6.6%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Willem II - Roda?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Roda will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Willem II (votes: 1 - 50%). Roda (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Willem II (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Willem II (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Roda (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 3.
- Willem II is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Roda's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Roda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Willem II will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Mathieu D.
(Knee Injury)
van Berkel N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Roda: Paulissen M.
(Injury)
Van den Buijs D.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Roda?
Willem II has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roda won against Willem II?
Roda has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Roda were as follows:
23.07.2024
Willem II
-
Roda
Canceled
23.02.2024
Willem II
-
Roda
2:3
21.10.2023
Roda
-
Willem II
0:1
19.05.2023
Roda
-
Willem II
2:2
06.01.2023
Willem II
-
Roda
1:0
Latest results of Willem II
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 60:50 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
