Result
2:3
17/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 11
- Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (366/430) | 78% (268/343) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (366/430) | 78% (268/343) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (32/51) | 44% (28/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (120/147) | 59% (67/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (11/34) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 2.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.47 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', 0 - 1, Haen D. ⚽, Doodeman N. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 48', 0 - 2, Verheydt T. ⚽, Doodeman N. (A),
- 54', El Allouchi M. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
- 66', van Hedel R. ↓, Zorgdrager B. ↑,
- 66', van der Leij T. ↓, Uneken J. ↑,
- 66', van der Venne R. ↓, Lokesa C. ↑,
- 72', Verheydt T. ↓, Zarrouk A. ↑,
- 78', 0 - 3, Haen D. ⚽, Doodeman N. (A),
- 80', 1 - 3, Uneken J. ⚽, Zorgdrager B. (A),
- 82', Roemeratoe G. ↓, Kramer M. ↑,
- 82', Cleonise D. ↓, Kuijpers R. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 3, Altena J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Waalwijk
42.4% | Draw
25.6% | Willem II
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Waalwijk - Willem II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.03) |
3.68 ↓
(3.7) |
2.93 ↓
(3.26) |
6.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Waalwijk - Willem II?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Waalwijk will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2.
- In recent matches, Waalwijk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Willem II is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Waalwijk will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Mathieu D.
(Knee Injury)
van Berkel N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Waalwijk: Lokesa C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J.
(Knock)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Willem II?
Waalwijk has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Waalwijk?
Willem II has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - Willem II were as follows:
26.01.2025
Waalwijk
-
Willem II
2:0
15.09.2024
Willem II
-
Waalwijk
3:0
Latest results of Waalwijk
Latest results of Willem II
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 33:7 | 26 | 31 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:17 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25:16 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25:21 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Waalwijk | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Den Bosch | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23:25 | -2 | 20 |
| 7 | Willem II | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
| 8 | Dordrecht | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Venlo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 19:18 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | De Graafschap | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | FC Emmen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Helmond | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Maastricht | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
| 15 | Jong AZ | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Oss | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 | Almere City | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 11 |
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:27 | -18 | 11 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
