Willem II vs Waalwijk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
2:1
08/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.390.91
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
45
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
102
Passes
81% (364/449)81% (315/389)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
1.390.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.622.22
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
55
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
68
Shots outside the box
56
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
1920
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1519
Passes
81% (364/449)81% (315/389)
Long passes
51% (35/69)40% (19/47)
Passes in final third
68% (98/145)73% (64/88)
Crosses
19% (7/37)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.470.73
Throw ins
2212
Fouls
1915
Tackles
70% (7/10)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5359
Clearances
1745
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
43
xGOT faced
2.220.62
Goals prevented
1.22-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Kuster H. ⚽, van Hedel R. (A),
  • 29', Verheydt T. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Verheydt T. ⚽, Doodeman N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Wouters L. 🟨,
  • 68', van Hedel R. ↓, Roemeratoe G. ↑,
  • 68', van der Leij T. ↓, Fage R. ↑,
  • 68', Familia-Castillo J. ↓, Held N. ↑,
  • 71', El Allouchi M. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
  • 77', Besselink G. ↓, Zarrouk A. ↑,
  • 77', Doodeman N. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Held N. (Own goal),
  • 86', Kuster H. ↓, Cleonise D. ↑,
  • 86', Wouters L. ↓, Kramer M. ↑,
  • 87', Verheydt T. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
  • 87', Kramer M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', de Leeuw K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Willem II
43.6%		Draw
25.3%		Waalwijk
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 26% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 26.6% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
    •

    Willem II - Waalwijk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.15 ↓
    (2.22)    		 3.67 ↑
    (3.53)    		 2.99 ↑
    (2.82)    		 7.2%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Willem II - Waalwijk?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Willem II will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Willem II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Waalwijk: Cleonise D. (Injury) Kuijpers R. (Injury) van Osch Y. (Injury) van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J. (Knock)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 2.2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Waalwijk were as follows:
    17.10.2025 Waalwijk - Willem II 2:3
    26.01.2025 Waalwijk - Willem II 2:0
    15.09.2024 Willem II - Waalwijk 3:0
    Latest results of Willem II
    02.02.2026 Jong Ajax - Willem II 2:1 ✺
    23.01.2026 Willem II - VVV-Venlo 2:1 ✺
    18.01.2026 FC Eindhoven - Willem II 0:2 ✺
    21.12.2025 Helmond Sport - Willem II 2:2 ✺
    18.12.2025 Willem II - Sparta Rotterdam 1:5 ✺
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    30.01.2026 Waalwijk - FC Oss 2:0 ✺
    26.01.2026 Waalwijk - Jong Utrecht 2:2 ✺
    23.01.2026 De Graafschap - Waalwijk 2:4 ✺
    18.01.2026 Waalwijk - Dordrecht 1:1 ✺
    15.01.2026 Heerenveen - Waalwijk 3:1 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 36272782:354783
    2Cambuur ✔ 36229572:442875
    3Willem II361881054:411362
    4De Graafschap361791071:561560
    5Jong PSV361751465:59656
    6Almere City361741573:591455
    7Waalwijk3615101166:531355
    8Roda3614121057:50754
    9Den Bosch351481361:61050
    10Dordrecht3612111346:50-447
    11Eindhoven FC361351850:66-1644
    12Vitesse3615101163:531043
    13Venlo361261847:55-842
    14FC Emmen361181755:70-1541
    15Jong Utrecht351091652:61-939
    16Oss369111648:62-1438
    17Jong AZ361142159:73-1437
    18Maastricht369101741:71-3037
    19Helmond36991840:61-2136
    20Jong Ajax36882049:71-2232

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
    Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
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