Yokohama F. Marinos vs Al-Nassr Riyadh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League
Football AFC Champions League Yokohama F. Marinos - Al-Nassr Riyadh
Result
1:4
26/04/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.722.99
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
616
Shots on target
113
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
82% (280/340)91% (595/654)
Yellow Cards
40
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.722.99
xG on target (xGOT)
0.754.41
Total shots
616
Shots on target
113
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
212
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
1137
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
810
Passes
82% (280/340)91% (595/654)
Long passes
39% (15/38)59% (29/49)
Passes in final third
71% (73/103)82% (92/112)
Crosses
7% (1/14)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.921.22
Throw-ins
1414
Fouls
108
Tackles
63% (10/16)71% (10/14)
Duels won
3239
Clearances
2115
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
90
xGOT faced
4.410.75
Goals prevented
0.03-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 15', Matsubara K. 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Duran J. ⚽,
  • 31', 0 - 2, Mane S. ⚽, Otavio (A),
  • 38', 0 - 3, Ronaldo C. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kato R. ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
  • 46', Jean Claude ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
  • 46', Yan ↓, Anderson Lopes ↑,
  • 49', 0 - 4, Duran J. ⚽,
  • 53', 1 - 4, Watanabe K. ⚽, Anderson Lopes (A),
  • 57', Yamane R. 🟨,
  • 58', Watanabe K. 🟨,
  • 67', Ronaldo C. ↓, Wesley ↑,
  • 67', Simakan M. ↓, Laporte A. ↑,
  • 67', Al Hassan A. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
  • 67', Tono D. ↓, Elber ↑,
  • 67', Yamane R. ↓, Kida T. ↑,
  • 73', Watanabe K. 🟨,
  • 77', Al Ghannam S. ↓, Qasheesh M. ↑,
  • 86', Otavio ↓, Al Khaibari A. ↑,

Chances of winning


Yokohama F. Marinos
11.1%		Draw
16.3%		Al-Nassr Riyadh
72.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.7% 18.3% 68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3% 17.7% 70.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
    •

    Yokohama F. Marinos - Al-Nassr Riyadh Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 8.5 ↑
    (6.85)    		 5.78 ↑
    (5.11)    		 1.29 ↓
    (1.38)    		 6.4%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Al-Nassr Riyadh?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Al-Nassr will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Nassr: 64.6% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Al-Nassr (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Yokohama FM is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Al-Nassr is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Al-Nassr could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Al-Nassr is certain favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
    20.04.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama F. Marinos 3:1 ✺
    16.04.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Shimizu S-Pulse 2:3 ✺
    12.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:1 ✺
    09.04.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos 3:3 ✺
    05.04.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo Verdy 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
    22.04.2025 Damac - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:3 ✺
    18.04.2025 Al-Qadisiya - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Riyadh 2:1
    04.04.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh 1:3 ✺
    14.03.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Kholood 3:1 ✺
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe22004:046
    2Seoul21104:134
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima21103:124
    4Ulsan HD21103:214
    5Gangwon21012:203
    6Chengdu Rongcheng21012:203
    7Buriram21012:4-23
    8Machida20201:102
    9Shanghai Shenhua20112:3-11
    10Johor DT20111:2-11
    11Shanghai Port20111:4-31
    12Melbourne City20020:3-30


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal22005:326
    2Al Ahli SC21106:424
    3Al Sharjah21105:414
    4Al Wahda21102:114
    5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai21102:114
    6Al-Gharafa21015:413
    7Al-Sadd20202:202
    8Tractor20201:102
    9Al-Duhail20113:4-11
    10Al Shorta20111:3-21
    11Al Ittihad20021:3-20
    12Nasaf Qarshi20024:7-30

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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