Result
0:1
05/04/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 27
- Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 7 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
Serbia | SportKlub 7 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.51 | 0.63 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
71% (273/386) | 64% (203/318) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.51 | 0.63 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.08 | 0.53 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 22 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
71% (273/386) | 64% (203/318) |
Long passes |
---|
35% (24/68) | 39% (25/64) |
Passes in final third |
---|
53% (62/116) | 47% (37/78) |
Crosses |
---|
16% (3/19) | 40% (6/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.52 | 0.88 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
47% (7/15) | 73% (11/15) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 56 |
Clearances Total |
---|
14 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.53 | 0.08 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.47 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Orlikowski I. ⚽, Dabrowski D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Burch M. ↓, Capita ↑,
- 58', Jordao B. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
- 64', Tapsoba A. 🟨,
- 70', Tapsoba A. ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
- 70', Kaput M. ↓, Ramos F. ↑,
- 71', Kurminowski D. ↓, Adamski R. ↑,
- 71', Pienko T. ↓, Kludka B. ↑,
- 73', Corluka J. 🟨,
- 80', Mroz M. ↓, Listkowski M. ↑,
- 82', Dadashov R. ↓, Barbosa R. ↑,
- 87', Kludka B. 🟨,
- 90+1', Szmyt K. ↓, Wozniak A. ↑,
- 90+2', Listkowski M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Radomiak Radom 43.5% | Draw 28.2% | Zagłębie Lubin 28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.18 ↓ (2.26) |
3.32 ↑ (3.25) |
3.29 ↑ (3.11) |
6.5% (7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radomiak: 57.1% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Radomiak won 2.
- Radomiak in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Zagłębie Lubin has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Radomiak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Zagłębie Lubin have a series of home games.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Radomiak: Cichocki M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M.
(Injury)
Szafranek W.
(Knee Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Radomiak to win the game is with odds 2.28.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Radomiak won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:14 (average 1.4:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Radomiak won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:11 (average 1.3:3.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Radomiak Radom has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Radomiak Radom?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:
29.09.2024
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Radomiak Radom
1:0
28.04.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Zagłębie Lubin
3:4
29.10.2023
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Radomiak Radom
2:3
06.03.2023
Radomiak Radom
-
Zagłębie Lubin
0:1
Latest results of Radomiak Radom
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
3 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
4 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Wisla Plock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
6 | Widzew Lodz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Pogon Szczecin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
9 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
10 | Motor Lublin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
11 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
12 | Legia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Piast Gliwice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | GKS Katowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Zaglebie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
16 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1