Radomiak Radom vs Zagłębie Lubin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin
Result
0:1
05/04/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 27
  • Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 7
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 7
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.510.63
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
71% (273/386)64% (203/318)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.510.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.080.53
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
2422
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
71% (273/386)64% (203/318)
Long passes
35% (24/68)39% (25/64)
Passes in final third
53% (62/116)47% (37/78)
Crosses
16% (3/19)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.520.88
Fouls
1410
Tackles
47% (7/15)73% (11/15)
Duels won
5056
Clearances Total
1427
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.530.08
Goals prevented
-0.470.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Orlikowski I. , Dabrowski D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Burch M. , Capita ,
  • 58', Jordao B. , Alves R. ,
  • 64', Tapsoba A. 🟨,
  • 70', Tapsoba A. , Pedro Perotti ,
  • 70', Kaput M. , Ramos F. ,
  • 71', Kurminowski D. , Adamski R. ,
  • 71', Pienko T. , Kludka B. ,
  • 73', Corluka J. 🟨,
  • 80', Mroz M. , Listkowski M. ,
  • 82', Dadashov R. , Barbosa R. ,
  • 87', Kludka B. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Szmyt K. , Wozniak A. ,
  • 90+2', Listkowski M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Radomiak Radom
43.5%
Draw
28.2%
Zagłębie Lubin
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 28.7% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 27% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.26)
    3.32
    (3.25)
    3.29
    (3.11)
    6.5%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Radomiak: 57.1%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Radomiak won 2.
    • Radomiak in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Zagłębie Lubin has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Radomiak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Zagłębie Lubin have a series of home games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Radomiak: Cichocki M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M. (Injury) Szafranek W. (Knee Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Radomiak to win the game is with odds 2.28.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Radomiak won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:14 (average 1.4:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Radomiak won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:11 (average 1.3:3.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Zagłębie Lubin - Radomiak Radom 1:0
    28.04.2024 Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin 3:4
    29.10.2023 Zagłębie Lubin - Radomiak Radom 2:3
    06.03.2023 Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin 0:1
    Latest results of Radomiak Radom
    Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cracovia22006:156
    2Gornik Zabrze22003:126
    3Radomiak Radom21106:244
    4Termalica B-B21014:223
    5Wisla Plock11002:023
    6Widzew Lodz11001:013
    7Rakow11001:013
    8Pogon Szczecin21015:6-13
    9Lech Poznan21015:7-23
    10Motor Lublin21012:4-23
    11Arka Gdynia20111:2-11
    12Legia00000:000
    13Piast Gliwice10010:1-10
    14GKS Katowice10010:1-10
    15Zaglebie10010:1-10
    16Korona Kielce10010:2-20
    17Jagiellonia10010:4-40
    18Lechia Gdansk20024:6-2-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1