Result
0:1
05/04/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 27
- Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 7 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | SportKlub 7 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (273/386) | 64% (203/318) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (273/386) | 64% (203/318) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (24/68) | 39% (25/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (62/116) | 47% (37/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.88 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 56 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 14 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Orlikowski I. ⚽, Dabrowski D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Burch M. ↓, Capita ↑,
- 58', Jordao B. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
- 64', Tapsoba A. 🟨,
- 70', Tapsoba A. ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
- 70', Kaput M. ↓, Ramos F. ↑,
- 71', Kurminowski D. ↓, Adamski R. ↑,
- 71', Pienko T. ↓, Kludka B. ↑,
- 73', Corluka J. 🟨,
- 80', Mroz M. ↓, Listkowski M. ↑,
- 82', Dadashov R. ↓, Barbosa R. ↑,
- 87', Kludka B. 🟨,
- 90+1', Szmyt K. ↓, Wozniak A. ↑,
- 90+2', Listkowski M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Radomiak Radom
43.5% | Draw
28.2% | Zagłębie Lubin
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.26) |
3.32 ↑
(3.25) |
3.29 ↑
(3.11) |
6.5%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radomiak: 57.1% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Radomiak won 2.
- Radomiak in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Zagłębie Lubin has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Radomiak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Zagłębie Lubin have a series of home games.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Radomiak: Cichocki M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M.
(Injury)
Szafranek W.
(Knee Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Radomiak to win the game is with odds 2.28.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Radomiak won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:14 (average 1.4:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Radomiak won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:11 (average 1.3:3.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Radomiak Radom has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Radomiak Radom?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:
29.09.2024
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Radomiak Radom
1:0
28.04.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Zagłębie Lubin
3:4
29.10.2023
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Radomiak Radom
2:3
06.03.2023
Radomiak Radom
-
Zagłębie Lubin
0:1
Latest results of Radomiak Radom
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Pogon Szczecin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Termalica B-B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Motor Lublin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Arka Gdynia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Legia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Zaglebie | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Rakow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
