Zamora vs Mérida AD – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Zamora - Mérida AD
Result
3:0
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
66
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
47
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
66
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Eslava J. ,
  • 26', Solar M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', 2 - 0, Kike ,
  • 49', 🟨,
  • 64', Herranz Corral V. , Areso J. ,
  • 64', Martinez G. , Chiqui ,
  • 68', Buron L. , Merchan D. ,
  • 68', Carbonell J. , Sancho J. ,
  • 73', 🟨,
  • 79', 3 - 0, Lozano M. ,
  • 80', 🟨,
  • 81', Kike , Romero Morillo A. ,
  • 82', Verges E. , Artola J. ,
  • 82', Doncel C. , Rivas M. ,

Chances of winning


Zamora
68.4%
Draw
18.4%
Mérida AD
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 26.6% 18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 25.9% 17.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zamora's performance.
  • Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mérida AD might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zamora that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Zamora - Mérida AD Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.66)
    6.83
    (3.43)
    9.63
    (4.98)
    -13.3%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Zamora - Mérida AD?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Zamora (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Zamora may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Zamora is considered a favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Zamora
    20.09.2025 Arenteiro - Zamora 0:0
    17.09.2025 Ourense CF - Zamora 2:1
    14.09.2025 Zamora - Lugo 1:0
    10.09.2025 Zamora - Amorebieta 4:1
    06.09.2025 Barakaldo - Zamora 1:1
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife660016:21418
    2Celta Vigo B641110:4613
    3Racing Club Ferrol63217:5211
    4Guadalajara63129:7210
    5Barakaldo72418:7110
    6Real Aviles631211:11010
    7Pontevedra63126:6010
    8Zamora62316:429
    9Ath Bilbao B72326:609
    10Osasuna B62313:309
    11Arenteiro62226:518
    12CF Talavera62227:708
    13Lugo62134:5-17
    14Arenas Getxo62137:11-47
    15Cacereno61326:8-26
    16Real Madrid B62046:9-36
    17Merida AD62047:12-56
    18Ponferradina61147:9-24
    19Ourense CF60334:9-53
    20Unionistas61054:10-63

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