Result
2:3
19/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Feres J. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Abreu D. ⚽,
- 22', Cougo A. 🟨,
- 26', Amaro M. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 1, Lopez F. ⚽,
- 44', Lemmo I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Lozano B. ↓, Wunsch N. ↑,
- 46', Furtado N. ↓, Torterolo A. ↑,
- 54', Sena N. ↓, Biscayzacu X. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 2, Abreu D. ⚽,
- 65', De los Santos G. 🟨,
- 65', Wunsch N. 🟨,
- 67', Fernandez N. ↓, Lopez P. ↑,
- 73', Machado A. ↓, Cambon A. ↑,
- 73', Pacifico P. ↓, Saravia M. ↑,
- 80', Lopez F. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
- 80', Silva G. ↓, De Los Santos M. ↑,
- 82', Silva G. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
- 82', Trasante G. ↓, Sosa F. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 2, Wunsch N. (Own goal),
- 90+3', 2 - 3, Cambon A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Progreso
30.3% | Draw
29.5% | Defensor Sporting
40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Progreso - Defensor Sporting Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.74) |
3.15 ↓
(3.25) |
2.33 ↓
(2.4) |
6.7%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 1.
- Progreso is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Defensor Sporting has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Progreso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1.3:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Progreso won against Defensor Sporting?
Progreso has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensor Sporting won against Progreso?
Defensor Sporting has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Progreso - Defensor Sporting were as follows:
20.04.2025
Defensor Sporting
-
Progreso
1:2
13.11.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Progreso
3:0
15.06.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Progreso
1:1
12.05.2024
Progreso
-
Defensor Sporting
1:4
03.11.2022
Defensor Sporting
-
Progreso
3:1
Latest results of Progreso
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 26:11 | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Nacional | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24:10 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | Liverpool M | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 25 |
| 4 | Boston River | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 24:8 | 16 | 24 |
| 5 | Montevideo City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 8 | 24 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 22 |
| 8 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Progreso | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Danubio | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:20 | -9 | 14 |
| 12 | Juventud | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6:12 | -6 | 12 |
| 13 | Miramar | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 | River Plate | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7:17 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9:22 | -13 | 8 |
| 16 | Wanderers | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5:19 | -14 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
