Swindon Town vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 40
  • Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.580.98
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
64% (209/327)62% (199/322)
Yellow Cards
05
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
4.580.98
xG on target (xGOT)
3.260.94
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2317
Through passes
100% (1/1)100% (1/1)
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
219
Passes
64% (209/327)62% (199/322)
Long passes
32% (26/82)23% (18/77)
Passes in final third
49% (43/87)48% (60/125)
Crosses
24% (4/17)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.77
Fouls
921
Tackles
100% (8/8)75% (9/12)
Duels won
5344
Clearances Total
2734
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.943.26
Goals prevented
-0.061.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Lewis J. 🟨,
  • 45', O'Toole J. J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Stevens M. , Browne M. ,
  • 56', 0 - 1, Browne M. ,
  • 63', Smith A. 🟨,
  • 67', Butterworth D. , Kilkenny G. ,
  • 68', Westley J. , Nichols T. ,
  • 68', Kirkman B. , Freckleton M. ,
  • 80', Cotterill J. , Ameen B. ,
  • 80', Ofoborh N. , Cain J. ,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Tshimanga K. (Pen),
  • 90+1', Maycock C. , Kelly J. ,
  • 90+3', Reeves J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', O'Toole J. J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Tshimanga K. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Swindon Town
28.9%
Draw
28.6%
AFC Wimbledon
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.1% 27.8% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 28% 37.3%

Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.26
(2.65)
3.26
(3.35)
2.23
(2.51)
6.2%
(7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 16.1%74.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Swindon: Drinan A. (Knee Injury) Hall G. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Swindon: Delaney R. (Injury) McGregor J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hippolyte M. (Inactive) Pigott J. (Inactive)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    26.12.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town 1:1
    13.04.2024 Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon 3:2
    09.12.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town 4:0
    22.04.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town 1:5
    10.12.2022 Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon 0:0
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley25156444:271751
    2Swindon24144639:261346
    3Walsall24134732:23943
    4Salford24134735:31443
    5MK Dons25118646:281841
    6Cambridge Utd24118528:19941
    7Chesterfield251010542:35740
    8Notts Co24116736:261039
    9Colchester2499638:281036
    10Crewe25106939:33636
    11Barnet2498732:26635
    12Grimsby2497835:30534
    13Fleetwood2497832:30234
    14Accrington2496927:26133
    15Oldham24711624:19532
    16Gillingham24711631:28332
    17Tranmere2588939:39032
    18Cheltenham25931325:41-1630
    19Barrow24661226:35-924
    20Bristol Rovers24631521:44-2321
    21Crawley25471428:45-1719
    22Shrewsbury24471321:41-2019
    23Harrogate25461519:40-2118
    24Newport24451524:43-1917

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League