Willem II vs Roda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 10
  • Referee: Higler D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN 4, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.31
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
86% (434/503)82% (345/419)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.031.13
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
3028
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
86% (434/503)82% (345/419)
Long passes
49% (31/63)52% (31/60)
Passes in final third
75% (109/145)72% (87/121)
Crosses
32% (8/25)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.79
Throw-ins
2214
Fouls
1310
Tackles
60% (9/15)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4243
Clearances
1923
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.131.03
Goals prevented
-0.870.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', Hoogma J. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Verheydt T. , Doodeman N. (A),
  • 41', 1 - 1, van den Hurk A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Stam F. , Ciranni A. ,
  • 61', El Allouchi M. , Zarrouk A. ,
  • 61', Bamba S. , Culum A. ,
  • 67', Breij M. , Cooper-Love J. ,
  • 67', van den Hurk A. , Griffith I. ,
  • 69', 1 - 2, Seedorf C. , Cooper-Love J. (A),
  • 77', Schwirten J. , Beerten L. ,
  • 77', Seedorf C. , Maiorano L. ,
  • 80', Besselink G. , Baartmans S. ,
  • 80', Doodeman N. , van Loon P. ,
  • 88', Nisbet J. , Foss J. ,
  • 89', Treichel J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Willem II
42.6%
Draw
26.8%
Roda
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 25.7% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 24.9% 30%

Willem II - Roda Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.22
(2.13)
3.45
(3.6)
3.08
(2.98)
6.6%
(8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Willem II - Roda?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Roda will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Roda (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 3.
    • Willem II is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Roda's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Roda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Willem II will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) van Berkel N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Roda: Paulissen M. (Injury) Van den Buijs D. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Roda were as follows:
    23.07.2024 Willem II - Roda Canceled
    23.02.2024 Willem II - Roda 2:3
    21.10.2023 Roda - Willem II 0:1
    19.05.2023 Roda - Willem II 2:2
    06.01.2023 Willem II - Roda 1:0
    Latest results of Willem II
    30.09.2025 Willem II - Helmond Sport 1:0
    27.09.2025 Vitesse - Willem II 1:2
    19.09.2025 Willem II - Jong Ajax 1:0
    12.09.2025 De Graafschap - Willem II 1:1
    06.09.2025 Cambuur - Willem II 2:2
    Latest results of Roda
    29.09.2025 Roda - Cambuur 1:1
    26.09.2025 FC Oss - Roda 1:2
    19.09.2025 Roda - Waalwijk 1:4
    15.09.2025 Jong PSV - Roda 0:1
    12.09.2025 Roda - Jong Ajax 3:3
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag20171256:213552
    2Cambuur21145246:222447
    3De Graafschap21114642:33937
    4Roda2197536:30634
    5Jong PSV21104741:39234
    6Almere City21102945:351032
    7Den Bosch21102940:39132
    8Venlo211001128:30-230
    9Willem II2186727:30-330
    10Waalwijk2185833:33029
    11FC Emmen2184939:39028
    12Eindhoven FC21831029:41-1227
    13Jong Utrecht2175933:37-426
    14Dordrecht2166926:31-524
    15Helmond21731129:36-724
    16Maastricht21641125:40-1522
    17Jong AZ21621332:43-1120
    18Oss2148926:37-1120
    19Vitesse2075831:33-214
    20Jong Ajax21261327:42-1512

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )