Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
26/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
54
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
56
Total shots
54
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
20
Corner Kicks
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', Paiva S. 🟨,
  • 29', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 41', Acosta M. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 1, Morales B. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Macelli A. 🟨,
  • 56', Valenzuela I. 🟨,
  • 58', Acosta M. , Viudez T. ,
  • 58', Queiroz N. , Suarez P. ,
  • 62', Paiva S. , Larrosa E. ,
  • 62', Miranda A. , Cuello E. ,
  • 63', Sosa E. 🟨,
  • 65', Luna J. 🟨,
  • 68', Sosa E. , Suarez M. ,
  • 74', Garcia A. , Veglio B. ,
  • 74', Cerro F. , Lima P. ,
  • 77', Morales B. , Ocampo M. ,
  • 77', Valenzuela I. , Camacho S. ,
  • 79', Martinez M. , Guzman S. ,
  • 80', Lima P. 🟨,
  • 87', Bacchia R. 🟨,
  • 89', Suarez M. 🟨,
  • 90', Suarez P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Montevideo Wanderers
42.3%
Draw
31.8%
Cerro
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 29% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 28.7% 26.8%

Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.23
(2.11)
2.91
(3.21)
3.65
(3.43)
6.6%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wanderers will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cerro will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Wanderers (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Wanderers (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 3.
    • Wanderers is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cerro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Wanderers has had a series of away games.
    • Wanderers might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Cerro - Montevideo Wanderers 1:2
    31.03.2025 Cerro - Montevideo Wanderers 2:1
    16.08.2024 Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro 1:0
    18.02.2024 Cerro - Montevideo Wanderers 1:1
    03.11.2023 Cerro - Montevideo Wanderers 0:1
    Latest results of Montevideo Wanderers
    Latest results of Cerro
    21.09.2025 Cerro - Miramar Misiones 1:0
    14.09.2025 Danubio - Cerro 5:1
    07.09.2025 Cerro - Cerro Largo 0:1
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional00000:000
    2CA Cerro00000:000
    3Liverpool M00000:000
    4Progreso00000:000
    5Danubio00000:000
    6Wanderers00000:000
    7Central Esp00000:000
    8Defensor Sp00000:000
    9Juventud00000:000
    10Penarol00000:000
    11Racing Montevideo00000:000
    12Cerro Largo00000:000
    13Maldonado00000:000
    14Boston River00000:000
    15Montevideo City00000:000
    16Albion00000:000

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