Result
1:0
17/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 29
- Referee: Nagamine K. (Jpn)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Sporty TV |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (294/381) | 64% (150/234) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (294/381) | 64% (150/234) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (30/70) | 38% (24/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (98/141) | 43% (28/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, Adamski R. ⚽, Piatkowski K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Kocaba F. 🟨,
- 58', Radwanski A. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
- 62', Kocaba F. ↓, Dabrowski D. ↑,
- 62', Corluka J. ↓, Grzybek M. ↑,
- 74', Kolan J. ↓, Dziewiatowski M. ↑,
- 74', Szabo L. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
- 80', Urbanski K. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
- 85', Szymanski D. 🟨,
- 85', Buric J. 🟨,
- 89', Kun P. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
- 90', Dziewiatowski M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Szymanski D. ↓, Kapustka B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Legia Warsaw
59.1% | Draw
24.7% | Zagłębie Lubin
16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Legia Warsaw - Zagłębie Lubin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.65) |
3.82 ↑
(3.75) |
5.78 ↑
(4.96) |
6.2%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Zagłębie Lubin?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 50.5% – 99.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Legia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 4.
- Legia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Zagłębie Lubin is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Legia is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Legia: Bichakhchyan V.
(Inactive)
Colak A.
(Inactive)
Goncalves C.
(Inactive)
Stojanovic P.
(Inactive)
Urbanski W.
(Yellow Cards)
Vinagre R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Makowski T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Legia won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 42:19. (average 2.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Legia Warsaw has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Legia Warsaw?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:
19.10.2025
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Legia Warsaw
3:1
08.12.2024
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Legia Warsaw
0:3
20.07.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Zagłębie Lubin
2:0
25.05.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Zagłębie Lubin
2:1
03.12.2023
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Legia Warsaw
0:3
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 56:41 | 15 | 55 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | GKS Katowice | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 48:42 | 6 | 47 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 46 |
| 5 | Rakow | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Zaglebie | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 45 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 49:44 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 43:45 | -2 | 41 |
| 10 | Piast Gliwice | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 40:41 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Legia | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 35:36 | -1 | 40 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 39 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 | Lechia Gdansk | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 58:57 | 1 | 38 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 36:38 | -2 | 36 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 34 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 37:60 | -23 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
