Orange County SC vs Louisville City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Championship Soccer Stadium (Irvine, CA).

USL Championship
Referee: Corrigan M. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, FanDuel Sports Network SoCal, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.57	2.55
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
5	25
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	11
Passes
79% (302/383)	78% (264/337)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57	2.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.37	0.31
Total shots
5	25
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
2	7
Blocked Shots
0	13
Shots inside the Box
4	14
Shots outside the Box
1	11
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	11
Touches in opposition box
8	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
8	9
Passes
79% (302/383)	78% (264/337)
Long passes
44% (27/62)	51% (27/53)
Passes in final third
53% (46/86)	71% (92/129)
Crosses
19% (3/16)	31% (12/39)
Expected assists (xA)
0.54	0.87
Throw-ins
19	24
Fouls
9	8
Tackles
68% (13/19)	90% (9/10)
Duels won
43	51
Clearances
32	29
Interceptions
11	10
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	3
xGOT faced
0.31	0.37
Goals prevented
0.31	0.37

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Dia A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Guimaraes P. 🟨,
63', Jamison B. ↓, War M. ↑,
63', Trager T. ↓, Sylla O. ↑,
66', Morris J. ↓, Dayes B. ↑,
66', Goodrum P. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
66', Perez A. ↓, Ownby B. ↑,
75', Zubak E. 🟨,
82', Pinto M. ↓, Partida K. ↑,
85', Partida K. 🟨,
86', Hegardt C. 🟨,
89', Davila E. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,
89', Serrano R. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
90+3', Hegardt C. ↓, Miles A. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Orange County SC
29.6%

Draw
27.2%

Louisville City
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

28.9%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

28.5%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Orange County SC - Louisville City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.99)	3.4 ↑ (3.19)	2.13 ↓ (2.3)	8.3% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Orange County SC - Louisville City?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Louisville City (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Orange County SC has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Louisville City is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Louisville City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Louisville City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.7:3).
Including home match between the teams, Orange County SC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against Louisville City?

Orange County SC has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Orange County SC?

Louisville City has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - Louisville City were as follows:

11.05.2024 Louisville City - Orange County SC 3:0

11.03.2023 Orange County SC - Louisville City 1:3

Latest results of Orange County SC

15.10.2025 Orange County SC - San Antonio 1:0 ✺

11.10.2025 New Mexico United - Orange County SC 3:3 ✺

04.10.2025 Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive 0:0 ✺

01.10.2025 Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC 2:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Orange County SC - Charleston Battery 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Louisville City

11.10.2025 Louisville City - Miami 1:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Louisville City - Indy Eleven 2:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Detroit City - Louisville City 0:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Louisville City - Las Vegas Lights 3:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Louisville City 0:2 ✺

USL Championship Table

2026

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Charleston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Tampa Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pittsburgh	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Indy Eleven	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Detroit	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Louisville City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Miami FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Hartford Athletic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Loudoun	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Rhode Island	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Sporting Jax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Brooklyn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Orange County SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	New Mexico	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Sacramento Republic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	FC Tulsa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Colorado Springs	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	San Antonio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Phoenix Rising	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Oakland Roots	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Monterey Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Las Vegas Lights	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	El Paso	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Lexington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)