Result
1:0
26/10/2025 at 01:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 35
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (329/412) | 75% (265/354) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (329/412) | 75% (265/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (18/39) | 38% (20/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (104/149) | 62% (61/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Nakano S. 🟨,
- 41', Nara T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Oda Y. ↓, Nitta R. ↑,
- 46', Hiraoka T. ↓, Ishii H. ↑,
- 59', Nago S. ↓, Wellington ↑,
- 59', Konno K. ↓, Shigemi M. ↑,
- 60', Okuno K. ↓, Ze Ricardo ↑,
- 76', Ze Ricardo 🟨,
- 80', Fujimoto K. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
- 80', Ikeda J. ↓, Kamijima T. ↑,
- 85', Onose K. ↓, Tamura S. ↑,
- 90+1', Tachi K. ↓, Oiwa K. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 0, Miki T. (Pen),
- 90+8', Usui S. ↓, Yuzawa M. ↑,
- 90+8', Matsuoka D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Avispa Fukuoka
51.2% | Draw
27.6% | Shonan Bellmare
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Avispa Fukuoka - Shonan Bellmare Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84
(1.84) |
3.42 ↓
(3.43) |
4.52 ↑
(4.49) |
5.8%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Shonan Bellmare?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 40% – 93.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Avispa Fukuoka (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.75 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.25 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 0.75 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 2.
- Avispa Fukuoka is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Shonan Bellmare is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Avispa Fukuoka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Avispa Fukuoka is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nagai T.
(Calf Injury)
Tamura S.
(Broken ankle)
- There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Yuzawa M.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:13. (average 1.2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Shonan Bellmare?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Shonan Bellmare has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
29.04.2025
Shonan Bellmare
-
Avispa Fukuoka
0:0
07.08.2024
Shonan Bellmare
-
Avispa Fukuoka
1:1
09.03.2024
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Shonan Bellmare
1:1
30.08.2023
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Shonan Bellmare
3:1
16.07.2023
Shonan Bellmare
-
Avispa Fukuoka
0:1
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 34 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | 32 |
| 3 | Machida | 13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Verdy | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 24 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 20:25 | 20 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 20:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Mito | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:28 | 18 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21:26 | 16 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13:26 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23:18 | 26 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 15 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 28:21 | 25 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 20 |
| 6 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Okayama | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18:27 | 18 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14:22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
