Result
1:2
09/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 15
- Referee: Chistyakov A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (253/352) | 83% (351/424) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (253/352) | 83% (351/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (30/67) | 34% (15/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (82/145) | 70% (61/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.28 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', Solari P. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 1, Solari P. ⚽, Garcia L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Garcia L. ↓, Ugalde M. ↑,
- 51', 0 - 2, Solari P. ⚽, Dmitriev I. (A),
- 59', 1 - 2, Melkadze G. ⚽, Sadulaev L. (A),
- 64', Denisov D. ↓, Zobnin R. ↑,
- 70', Ibishev T. ↓, Keliano M. ↑,
- 70', Samorodov M. ↓, Zhemaletdinov R. ↑,
- 82', Sidorov M. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
- 83', Solari P. ↓, Martins C. ↑,
- 83', Marquinhos ↓, Reabciuk O. ↑,
- 85', Cacintura E. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
- 90+3', Fernandes G. ↓, Litvinov R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Akhmat Grozny
28.7% | Draw
28% | Spartak Moscow
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akhmat Grozny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Akhmat Grozny - Spartak Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.35 ↑
(3) |
3.44 ↓
(3.45) |
2.22
(2.22) |
3.9%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Akhmat Grozny - Spartak Moscow?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Spartak M (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Spartak Moscow will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 1.
- Akhmat has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Spartak M is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Akhmat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Akhmat has had a series of away games.
- Spartak M could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Akhmat: Melkadze G.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Spartak M: Babic S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Akhmat: El Mahraoui A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:30. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Akhmat won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Spartak Moscow?
Akhmat Grozny has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against Akhmat Grozny?
Spartak Moscow has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akhmat Grozny - Spartak Moscow were as follows:
30.03.2025
Akhmat Grozny
-
Spartak Moscow
0:0
11.08.2024
Spartak Moscow
-
Akhmat Grozny
0:0
03.12.2023
Akhmat Grozny
-
Spartak Moscow
2:1
26.08.2023
Spartak Moscow
-
Akhmat Grozny
0:0
01.04.2023
Spartak Moscow
-
Akhmat Grozny
0:0
Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
Latest results of Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:13 | 26 | 43 |
| 2 | Zenit | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 35:12 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 41:24 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 36 |
| 5 | Baltika | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 24:8 | 16 | 35 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
| 7 | Akhmat Grozny | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 24 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 23 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 18 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20:37 | -17 | 17 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 13:30 | -17 | 14 |
| 16 | Sochi | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 18:44 | -26 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
