Result
3:1
19/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 25
- Referee: Shafeev R. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (445/519) | 73% (180/246) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (445/519) | 73% (180/246) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (33/57) | 43% (20/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (148/184) | 53% (32/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.93 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | -1.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Barco E. ⚽, Marquinhos (A),
- 28', 2 - 0, Marquinhos ⚽, Solari P. (A),
- 39', 3 - 0, Fernandes G. ⚽, Marquinhos (A),
- 41', 3 - 1, Samorodov M. ⚽, Cacintura E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mansilla B. ↓, Kenzhebek G. ↑,
- 46', Pryakhin S. ↓, Gadio P. ↑,
- 53', Wooh C. 🟨,
- 64', Melkadze G. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
- 64', Wooh C. ↓, Zobnin R. ↑,
- 72', Marquinhos ↓, Martins C. ↑,
- 86', Zare M. ↓, Ndong O. ↑,
- 86', Sidorov M. ↓, Khlusevich D. ↑,
- 90', Ugalde M. ↓, Zabolotnyi A. ↑,
- 90', Solari P. ↓, Massalyga N. ↑,
- 90+1', Denisov D. ↓, Dmitriev I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Spartak Moscow
66.1% | Draw
20.4% | Akhmat Grozny
13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Moscow's performance.Akhmat Grozny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Spartak Moscow - Akhmat Grozny Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↓
(1.53) |
4.71 ↑
(3.94) |
7.11 ↑
(5.5) |
4.3%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow - Akhmat Grozny?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Spartak M will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Akhmat will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 1.
- Spartak M is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Akhmat has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Spartak M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Spartak M is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Spartak M: Babic S.
(Knee Injury)
Zorin D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Akhmat: Sadulaev L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Spartak M: Saus V.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Spartak M will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:15. (average 1.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spartak M won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 1.5:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against Akhmat Grozny?
Spartak Moscow has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Spartak Moscow?
Akhmat Grozny has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Moscow - Akhmat Grozny were as follows:
09.11.2025
Akhmat Grozny
-
Spartak Moscow
1:2
30.03.2025
Akhmat Grozny
-
Spartak Moscow
0:0
11.08.2024
Spartak Moscow
-
Akhmat Grozny
0:0
03.12.2023
Akhmat Grozny
-
Spartak Moscow
2:1
26.08.2023
Spartak Moscow
-
Akhmat Grozny
0:0
Latest results of Spartak Moscow
Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 56:21 | 35 | 63 |
| 2 | Zenit | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 50:18 | 32 | 62 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 52:36 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Baltika | 28 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 37:18 | 19 | 46 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 39:31 | 8 | 45 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 26:26 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 22:30 | -8 | 30 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 31:48 | -17 | 29 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 33:46 | -13 | 27 |
| 13 | Orenburg | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 26 |
| 14 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 23:46 | -23 | 22 |
| 16 | Sochi | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 27:57 | -30 | 21 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
