Result
2:1
25/04/2026 at 16:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 18
- Referee: Colman A. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.01 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (211/295) | 79% (350/442) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (211/295) | 79% (350/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (25/62) | 56% (35/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (58/101) | 61% (95/157) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 31% (9/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.12 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 51 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', Riveros P. 🟨,
- 6', 1 - 0, Maggi I. ⚽, Ramos J. (A),
- 12', Viera G. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 1, Gonzalez C. ⚽, Mana N. (A),
- 35', Balbuena A. ↓, Martinez Cubilla A. M. ↑,
- 37', Mendoza S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mendoza S. ↓, Melgarejo D. ↑,
- 46', Viera G. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑,
- 53', Melgarejo D. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 1, Maggi I. ⚽,
- 67', Comas L. ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
- 67', Diaz S. ↓, Benitez A. ↑,
- 70', Romero F. ↓, Camacho N. ↑,
- 70', Mana N. ↓, Rayer T. ↑,
- 70', Gonzalez C. ↓, Gimenez O. ↑,
- 77', Maiz A. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
- 77', Ramos J. ↓, Ojeda M. ↑,
- 84', Valdez B. 🟨,
- 90+8', Maggi I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Luqueño
29.6% | Draw
28.6% | Sportivo Trinidense
41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Sportivo Trinidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Trinidense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.83) |
3.26 ↓
(3.44) |
2.22 ↓
(2.34) |
7.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Trinidense?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 2.
- Sportivo Luqueño has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sportivo Trinidense is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sportivo Trinidense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Sportivo Trinidense?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Trinidense won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Sportivo Trinidense has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Trinidense were as follows:
25.02.2026
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Sportivo Luqueño
1:1
17.10.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Sportivo Trinidense
1:0
02.08.2025
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Sportivo Luqueño
2:0
15.04.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Sportivo Trinidense
1:0
01.02.2025
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Sportivo Luqueño
1:0
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Latest results of Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion ✔ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 32:13 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 34 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Ameliano | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Libertad Asuncion | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30:22 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Guarani | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 25 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 25 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 19 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 16:34 | -18 | 18 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12:41 | -29 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Olimpia Asuncion is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
