Result
4:2
14/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (212/306) | 82% (393/482) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.08 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (212/306) | 82% (393/482) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (21/57) | 53% (40/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (56/103) | 70% (79/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 50% (3/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 3.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | -0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Damus R. ⚽, Laszo E. (A),
- 19', Centeno E. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Dia A. ⚽, Serrano R. (A),
- 30', 2 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
- 44', 3 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Preston T. 🟨,
- 58', 4 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
- 60', Preston T. ↓, Trejo D. ↑,
- 65', Dia A. ↓, McFadden A. ↑,
- 66', Goodrum P. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
- 66', Perez E. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
- 67', Centeno E. ↓, Tregarthen S. ↑,
- 67', Suarez S. ↓, Paterson AJ ↑,
- 68', Gleadle S. 🟨,
- 76', Wilson J. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
- 78', Turnbull S. ↓, Hamouda R. ↑,
- 78', Laszo E. ↓, McIllhatton S. ↑,
- 82', Davila T. ↓, Moguel C. ↑,
- 90', 4 - 2, Moguel C. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Louisville City
65.4% | Draw
20.3% | Birmingham Legion
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Louisville City's performance.Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Louisville City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Louisville City - Birmingham Legion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.57) |
4.56 ↑
(3.6) |
6.49 ↑
(4.75) |
7.9%
(12.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Louisville City - Birmingham Legion?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Louisville City will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Louisville City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 2.
- Louisville City is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Birmingham has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Louisville City is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Birmingham Legion?
Louisville City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham Legion won against Louisville City?
Birmingham Legion has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
29.06.2024
Birmingham Legion
-
Louisville City
1:4
30.03.2024
Louisville City
-
Birmingham Legion
5:0
19.08.2023
Birmingham Legion
-
Louisville City
2:0
22.07.2023
Louisville City
-
Birmingham Legion
1:2
Latest results of Louisville City
Latest results of Birmingham Legion
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Hartford Athletic | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Tampa Bay | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Charleston | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Detroit | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 8 | Brooklyn | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Loudoun | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Oakland Roots | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Orange County SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | El Paso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 2 |
| 9 | Lexington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 12 | New Mexico | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
