Mladá Boleslav vs Karviná – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
25/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Chance Liga - Round 13
  • Referee: Petrik J. (Cze)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.891.90
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1318
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
18
Passes
79% (311/394)81% (321/396)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.891.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.122.29
Total shots
1318
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
18
Touches in opposition box
2235
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
216
Passes
79% (311/394)81% (321/396)
Long passes
35% (15/43)41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
61% (59/96)67% (90/135)
Crosses
14% (1/7)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.051.29
Throw-ins
2219
Fouls
621
Tackles
83% (5/6)74% (14/19)
Duels won
4439
Clearances
1913
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
2.291.12
Goals prevented
-1.71-0.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Gning A. ,
  • 34', Ayaosi E. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Vojta M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 46', John S. , Subert M. ,
  • 46', Sevcik M. , Kolarik J. ,
  • 47', 0 - 2, Samko D. , Gning A. (A),
  • 51', 0 - 3, Samko D. , Singhateh E. (A),
  • 55', 0 - 4, Ayaosi E. , Singhateh E. (A),
  • 58', Singhateh E. , Sigut S. ,
  • 58', Ayaosi E. , Conde O. ,
  • 58', Vojta M. , Klima J. ,
  • 58', Prebsl F. , Kozel D. ,
  • 61', Matousek F. 🟨,
  • 70', Gning A. , Storman R. ,
  • 70', Samko D. , Fiala J. ,
  • 71', 1 - 4, Lehky F. , Kolarik J. (A),
  • 78', Buzek A. , Bohac S. ,
  • 83', Pech Da. , Donat D. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 4, Klima J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Mladá Boleslav
44.1%
Draw
25%
Karviná
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 24.2% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 23.9% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mladá Boleslav has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Karviná has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Mladá Boleslav - Karviná Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.1)
    3.74
    (3.8)
    3.01
    (2.89)
    7.5%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Mladá Boleslav - Karviná?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Mladá Boleslav will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Karviná will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Karviná (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Karviná (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Karviná (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mladá Boleslav won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Mladá Boleslav may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Mladá Boleslav has had a series of away games.
    • Mladá Boleslav might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Mladá Boleslav: Haliti J. (Health problems) Mares D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Karviná: Vallo K. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Mladá Boleslav won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mladá Boleslav won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mladá Boleslav - Karviná were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Karviná - Mladá Boleslav 3:1
    27.10.2024 Mladá Boleslav - Karviná 1:1
    13.12.2023 Mladá Boleslav - Karviná 2:2
    05.08.2023 Karviná - Mladá Boleslav 1:2
    Latest results of Mladá Boleslav
    Latest results of Karviná
    18.10.2025 Karviná - Sigma Olomouc 1:1
    04.10.2025 Pardubice - Karviná 2:1
    27.09.2025 Slovácko - Karviná 1:2
    23.09.2025 Táborsko - Karviná 1:6
    20.09.2025 Karviná - Jablonec 1:2
    Czech 1 Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Slavia Prague ✔ 24177052:183458
    2Sparta Prague24156348:252351
    3Jablonec24136531:23845
    4Plzen24126642:311142
    5Liberec24107737:241337
    6Sigma Olomouc24106824:22236
    7Hradec Kralove2497834:29534
    8Karvina241021235:40-532
    9Zlin2487929:29031
    10Teplice24681024:30-626
    11Bohemians24751220:30-1026
    12FK Pardubice24681029:41-1226
    13Mlada Boleslav24581132:47-1523
    14Slovacko24571218:29-1122
    15Ostrava24471318:33-1519
    16Dukla Prague24291314:36-2215

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          Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )