Result
3:0
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 27
- Referee: Woods M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 0.59 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (254/365) | 67% (226/338) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (254/365) | 67% (226/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (24/75) | 22% (17/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (67/127) | 56% (84/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 44 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 2.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 49', 1 - 0, Wareham J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 57', Houghton J. ↓, White H. ↑,
- 60', Mendes C. ↓, Tuterov T. ↑,
- 68', Roberts J. ↓, Cornick H. ↑,
- 72', Cole R. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 0, Brierley E. ⚽, Aitchison J. (A),
- 77', Phillips D. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
- 77', Kemp D. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
- 82', Oakes L. ↓, Turns E. ↑,
- 82', Wareham J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
- 88', Patterson P. 🟨,
- 90+2', Doyle-Hayes J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Goode C. 🟨,
- 90+4', Whitworth J. 🟨,
- 90+8', 3 - 0, Tuterov T. ⚽, Aitchison J. (A),
Chances of winning
Exeter City
37.8% | Draw
30.9% | Stevenage Borough
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Exeter City - Stevenage Borough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↓
(2.56) |
3.01 ↓
(3.04) |
2.98 ↑
(2.85) |
7.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Exeter City - Stevenage Borough?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Stevenage will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Exeter: 15.4% – 84.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 2.
- Exeter has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Stevenage is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Exeter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Exeter has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D.
(Inactive)
Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
Rydel R.
(Inactive)
Yfeko J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: Young J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:19. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:6. (average 1.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Stevenage Borough?
Exeter City has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Exeter City?
Stevenage Borough has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
20.09.2025
Stevenage Borough
-
Exeter City
2:1
01.02.2025
Stevenage Borough
-
Exeter City
4:1
21.09.2024
Exeter City
-
Stevenage Borough
2:0
06.04.2024
Exeter City
-
Stevenage Borough
1:0
16.12.2023
Stevenage Borough
-
Exeter City
1:1
Latest results of Exeter City
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 41 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 77:35 | 42 | 90 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 40 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 74:42 | 32 | 78 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 41 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 52:45 | 7 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 41 | 18 | 16 | 7 | 59:42 | 17 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 40 | 18 | 10 | 12 | 42:38 | 4 | 64 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 41 | 19 | 5 | 17 | 64:56 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | Reading | 42 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 62:54 | 8 | 62 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 62:53 | 9 | 61 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 49:41 | 8 | 53 |
| 13 | Peterborough | 40 | 15 | 6 | 19 | 59:55 | 4 | 51 |
| 14 | Barnsley | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 60:64 | -4 | 51 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 41 | 14 | 8 | 19 | 56:64 | -8 | 50 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 41 | 14 | 8 | 19 | 49:62 | -13 | 50 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 41 | 14 | 8 | 19 | 42:64 | -22 | 50 |
| 18 | Wigan | 41 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 44:55 | -11 | 49 |
| 19 | Burton | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 45:56 | -11 | 48 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 42 | 13 | 9 | 20 | 48:64 | -16 | 48 |
| 21 | Exeter | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 45:53 | -8 | 46 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 35:59 | -24 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
