Result
18/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Trofense
37.1% | Draw
30.6% | Varzim
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Trofense - Varzim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(2.37) |
3 ↑
(2.93) |
2.84 ↓
(2.97) |
9%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 6)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trofense won 3.
- In recent matches, Trofense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Varzim is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Varzim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Trofense won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Trofense won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Trofense won against Varzim?
Trofense has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varzim won against Trofense?
Varzim has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trofense - Varzim were as follows:
21.02.2026
Varzim
-
Trofense
2:0
20.12.2025
Varzim
-
Trofense
0:1
11.10.2025
Trofense
-
Varzim
2:1
30.08.2025
Trofense
-
Varzim
5:1
18.01.2025
Varzim
-
Trofense
2:1
Latest results of Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Academica | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Mafra | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 6 | Varzim | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 9 |
| 7 | Trofense | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 8 | Santarem | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:14 | -6 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
