Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka).

J1 League - Round 29
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.64	2.23
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
18	17
Shots on target
6	9
Big Chances
2	6
Corner Kicks
8	4
Passes
84% (320/382)	85% (351/414)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64	2.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.93	3.91
Total shots
18	17
Shots on target
6	9
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
8	1
Shots inside the Box
12	12
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	6
Corner Kicks
8	4
Touches in opposition box
27	23
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
6	14
Passes
84% (320/382)	85% (351/414)
Long passes
51% (27/53)	45% (23/51)
Passes in final third
73% (69/95)	73% (94/128)
Crosses
30% (7/23)	38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.11	1.19
Throw-ins
9	23
Fouls
14	6
Tackles
75% (6/8)	30% (3/10)
Duels won
32	37
Clearances
18	20
Interceptions
4	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	4
xGOT faced
3.91	0.93
Goals prevented
-0.09	-1.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Miki T. ⚽, Hashimoto Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 4)
54', 1 - 1, Shibayama M. ⚽, Thiago Andrade (A),
56', Kamijima T. ↓, Yuzawa M. ↑,
60', Yoshino K. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Shibayama M. ⚽,
66', Zahedi S. ↓, Wellington ↑,
66', Oda I. ↓, Konno K. ↑,
73', Nakajima M. ↓, Rafael Ratao ↑,
77', 1 - 3, Rafael Ratao ⚽,
83', Fujimoto K. ↓, Ben Khalifa N. ↑,
83', Hashimoto Y. ↓, Tashiro M. ↑,
84', Inoue R. ↓, Shindo R. ↑,
84', Shibayama M. ↓, Kida H. ↑,
84', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
89', 1 - 4, Rafael Ratao ⚽,
90+4', Wellington 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 4, Wellington ⚽, Nago S. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Avispa Fukuoka
29.6%

Draw
28.7%

Cerezo Osaka
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

28.7%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

28.8%

39%

Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.92)	3.28 ↑ (3.25)	2.27 ↓ (2.39)	6.2% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerezo Osaka: 25.1% – 83.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Avispa Fukuoka has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Ando T. (Yellow Cards) Hisashi J. (Knee Injury) Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Matsuoka D. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Noborizato K. (Knee Injury) Takahashi N. (Foot Injury) Uejo S. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Iwasaki Y. (Injury)
There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Cerezo Osaka?

Avispa Fukuoka has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Avispa Fukuoka?

Cerezo Osaka has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:

24.05.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka 2:0

09.11.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka 1:0

18.05.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka 0:3

30.06.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1

25.02.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka 2:1

Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka

31.08.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka 1:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka 2:5 ✺

06.08.2025 Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Cerezo Osaka

31.08.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Vissel Kobe 1:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka 3:0 ✺

11.08.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Albirex Niigata 3:1 ✺

06.08.2025 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 2:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	38	23	7	8	58:31	27	76
2	Kashiwa Reysol	38	21	12	5	60:34	26	75
3	Kyoto	38	19	11	8	62:40	22	68
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	38	20	8	10	46:28	18	68
5	Vissel Kobe	38	18	10	10	46:33	13	64
6	Machida	38	17	9	12	52:38	14	60
7	Urawa Reds	38	16	11	11	45:39	6	59
8	Kawasaki Frontale	38	15	12	11	67:57	10	57
9	Gamba Osaka	38	17	6	15	53:55	-2	57
10	Cerezo Osaka	38	14	10	14	60:57	3	52
11	FC Tokyo	38	13	11	14	41:48	-7	50
12	Avispa Fukuoka	38	12	12	14	34:38	-4	48
13	Okayama	38	12	9	17	34:43	-9	45
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	38	11	11	16	41:51	-10	44
15	Yokohama F. Marinos	38	12	7	19	46:47	-1	43
16	Nagoya Grampus	38	11	10	17	44:56	-12	43
17	Verdy	38	11	10	17	23:41	-18	43
18	Yokohama FC	38	9	8	21	27:45	-18	35
19	Shonan Bellmare	38	8	8	22	36:63	-27	32
20	Albirex Niigata	38	4	12	22	36:67	-31	24

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