Result
4:0
03/05/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 7
- Referee: Aslam U. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (349/403) | 83% (346/416) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (349/403) | 83% (346/416) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (24/42) | 47% (27/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (95/123) | 69% (75/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (16/23) | 86% (19/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 2.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -1.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Karlsbakk M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 11', 2 - 0, Nyheim G. ⚽, Felix Va (A),
- 29', Jenssen U. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 60', Halvorsen V. E. ↓, Nibe A. ↑,
- 60', Berget J. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
- 61', Utvik B. 🟨,
- 61', Koch M. 🟨,
- 69', Arierhi K. ↓, Jebara C. ↑,
- 75', Hiim A. 🟨,
- 76', 3 - 0, Jebara C. ⚽, Felix Va (A),
- 80', Christiansen S. ↓, Gueye B. ↑,
- 80', Sorli S. ↓, Svenningsen Gronn M. ↑,
- 80', Koch M. ↓, Odegaard M. ↑,
- 81', Ottesen S. ↓, Paintsil Y. ↑,
- 81', Karlsbakk M. ↓, Woxen H. ↑,
- 90', 4 - 0, Drammeh S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+1', Drammeh S. ↓, Alperud L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lillestrøm SK
53.1% | Draw
22.7% | Sarpsborg 08
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lillestrøm SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Sarpsborg 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (-2%)
Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↑
(1.76) |
4.14 ↑
(4.13) |
3.89 ↓
(4.24) |
6.1%
(4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lillestrøm SK will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 1.
- Lillestrøm is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sarpsborg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Lillestrøm is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:31. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lillestrøm won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lillestrøm SK won against Sarpsborg 08?
Lillestrøm SK has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarpsborg 08 won against Lillestrøm SK?
Sarpsborg 08 has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08 were as follows:
06.12.2025
Lillestrøm SK
-
Sarpsborg 08
3:1
28.07.2024
Lillestrøm SK
-
Sarpsborg 08
2:2
05.05.2024
Sarpsborg 08
-
Lillestrøm SK
1:0
17.09.2023
Sarpsborg 08
-
Lillestrøm SK
3:1
16.05.2023
Lillestrøm SK
-
Sarpsborg 08
1:2
Latest results of Lillestrøm SK
Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tromso | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 20 |
| 2 | Viking | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:6 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | Lillestrom | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Bodo/Glimt | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Molde | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Brann | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | HamKam | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Sandefjord | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Kristiansund | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Fredrikstad | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 7 |
| 13 | Sarpsborg 08 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 | Rosenborg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Start | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
| 16 | Aalesund | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
