Motor Lublin vs Wisła Płock – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
08/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 15
  • Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.630.71
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
87% (472/540)77% (230/300)
Yellow Cards
36
Expected Goals (xG)
2.630.71
xG on target (xGOT)
1.800.61
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
2515
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1418
Passes
87% (472/540)77% (230/300)
Long passes
59% (27/46)48% (31/64)
Passes in final third
74% (105/141)56% (49/87)
Crosses
25% (6/24)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.630.85
Throw-ins
1816
Fouls
1814
Tackles
83% (10/12)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4241
Clearances
2227
Interceptions
18
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.611.80
Goals prevented
-0.390.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Fabio Ronaldo ,
  • 30', Wolski B. (Pen),
  • 39', Stolarski P. 🟨,
  • 39', Sekulski L. 🟨,
  • 40', Hiszpanski F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Juric D. , Nowak W. ,
  • 46', Pacheco D. , Salvador I. ,
  • 46', Tavares T. , Mijuskovic N. ,
  • 51', Edmundsson A. 🟨,
  • 56', Najemski A. 🟨,
  • 58', Sekulski L. , Niarchos G. ,
  • 65', Najemski A. , Matthys H. ,
  • 65', Fabio Ronaldo , van Hoeven B. ,
  • 67', Bartos M. 🟨,
  • 73', Rogelj Z. , Custovic K. ,
  • 73', Samper S. , Labojko J. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Edmundsson A. ,
  • 82', Krol M. , Haxha F. ,
  • 82', Wolski B. , Scalet M. ,
  • 86', Salvador I. 🟨,
  • 89', Mijuskovic N. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Motor Lublin
40.6%
Draw
27.2%
Wisła Płock
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.1% 29.4% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 30.7% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Motor Lublin - Wisła Płock Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.41)
    3.43
    (3.04)
    2.89
    (2.67)
    6.8%
    (11.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - Wisła Płock?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Wisła Płock will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Motor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • Recent performances by Motor have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Wisła Płock is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Motor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Motor: Ndiaye M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Wisła Płock: Borowski B. (Inactive) Burek J. (Inactive) Gostomski M. (Knee Injury) Jimenez J. (Foot Injury) Wieckowski M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Motor: Fabio Ronaldo (Injury) Rodrigues I. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wisła Płock: Sekulski L. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Motor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Motor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Wisła Płock were as follows:
    11.07.2025 Motor Lublin - Wisła Płock 2:2
    05.05.2024 Wisła Płock - Motor Lublin 1:0
    05.11.2023 Motor Lublin - Wisła Płock 2:2
    Latest results of Motor Lublin
    Latest results of Wisła Płock
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jagiellonia22108439:261338
    2Zaglebie23108537:271038
    3Lech Poznan23108540:34638
    4Gornik Zabrze23104933:31234
    5Rakow23104931:29234
    6Cracovia2389629:25433
    7Wisla Plock2389624:20433
    8Pogon Szczecin23941033:35-231
    9Korona Kielce2386927:26130
    10GKS Katowice22931031:32-130
    11Motor Lublin2379732:37-530
    12Radomiak Radom2278737:34329
    13Piast Gliwice23851026:28-229
    14Lechia Gdansk2396846:45128
    15Arka Gdynia22751021:38-1726
    16Legia23510827:29-225
    17Widzew Lodz23731329:33-424
    18Termalica B-B23571127:40-1322

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1