Result
1:1
23/11/2025 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 16
- Referee: Egorov E. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 2.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (182/265) | 81% (390/480) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 2.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 25 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (182/265) | 81% (390/480) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (15/52) | 53% (33/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (58/89) | 64% (82/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 55% (11/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Rudenko A. ⚽, Prutsev D. (A),
- 15', 1 - 1, Douglas Augusto ⚽,
- 32', Chernikov A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 48', Bakaev Z. 🟨,
- 64', Joao Batxi ↓, Perrin G. ↑,
- 70', Bakaev Z. ↓, Pinyaev S. ↑,
- 70', Komlichenko N. ↓, Vorobyev D. ↑,
- 74', Chernikov A. ↓, Krivtsov N. ↑,
- 80', Douglas Augusto ↓, Lenini K. ↑,
- 85', Nyamsi G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiv Moscow
32.9% | Draw
27.2% | Krasnodar
39.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Lokomotiv Moscow - Krasnodar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↑
(2.79) |
3.59 ↓
(3.6) |
2.44 ↓
(2.48) |
2.6%
(3.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Moscow - Krasnodar?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Lokomotiv will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Krasnodar will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 1.
- Lokomotiv has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Krasnodar is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Lokomotiv has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Lokomotiv: Barinov D.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Krasnodar: Cobnan M. D.
(Injury)
Karpov D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lokomotiv: Vorobyev D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Krasnodar?
Lokomotiv Moscow has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Krasnodar won against Lokomotiv Moscow?
Krasnodar has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Moscow - Krasnodar were as follows:
26.07.2025
Krasnodar
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
1:2
08.12.2024
Krasnodar
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
0:0
01.09.2024
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Krasnodar
0:3
31.03.2024
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Krasnodar
1:1
19.08.2023
Krasnodar
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
1:1
Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow
Latest results of Krasnodar
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:13 | 26 | 43 |
| 2 | Zenit | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 35:12 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 41:24 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 36 |
| 5 | Baltika | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 24:8 | 16 | 35 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
| 7 | Akhmat Grozny | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 24 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 23 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 18 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20:37 | -17 | 17 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 13:30 | -17 | 14 |
| 16 | Sochi | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 18:44 | -26 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
