Result
1:1
09/03/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 23
Chances of winning
Vitória de Sernache
40.3% | Draw
31.4% | SB Castelo Branco
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória de Sernache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitória de Sernache's performance.SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SB Castelo Branco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitória de Sernache that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SB Castelo Branco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vitória de Sernache - SB Castelo Branco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↓
(3) |
2.92 ↑
(2.72) |
3.23 ↑
(2.55) |
9.2%
(9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 6).
- Recent matches Sernache is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- SB Castelo Branco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Sernache won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-8.
- Including matches at home between the teams Sernache won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória de Sernache won against SB Castelo Branco?
Vitória de Sernache has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SB Castelo Branco won against Vitória de Sernache?
SB Castelo Branco has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória de Sernache - SB Castelo Branco were as follows:
12.11.2023
SB Castelo Branco
-
Vitória de Sernache
3:0
Latest results of Vitória de Sernache
Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Uniao Da Serra | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Vitoria Sernache | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Os Marialvas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Marinhense | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Samora Correia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | SB Castelo Branco | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Naval 1893 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Mortagua | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Fatima | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | SC Lusitania | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Lajense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Peniche | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Oliveira Hospital | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Electrico | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:13 | -11 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
