Vitória de Sernache vs SB Castelo Branco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
25/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 17

Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
22
Corner kicks
74
Total shots
88
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
66
Corner kicks
74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Vitória de Sernache
45.3%
Draw
29.5%
SB Castelo Branco
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 26.5% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2% 28.7% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitória de Sernache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitória de Sernache's form might have worsened.
  • SB Castelo Branco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitória de Sernache, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SB Castelo Branco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Vitória de Sernache - SB Castelo Branco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.68)
    3.08
    (3.35)
    3.6
    (4.3)
    10.1%
    (12.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sernache won 2.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • In this match, Sernache is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sernache won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sernache won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória de Sernache - SB Castelo Branco were as follows:
    14.09.2025 SB Castelo Branco - Vitória de Sernache 0:2
    09.03.2024 Vitória de Sernache - SB Castelo Branco 1:1
    12.11.2023 SB Castelo Branco - Vitória de Sernache 3:0
    Latest results of Vitória de Sernache
    Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache ✔ 24157232:102252
    2SB Castelo Branco24144641:202146
    3Naval 189324135634:231144
    4Oliveira Hospital24128434:122244
    5Uniao Da Serra24118533:221141
    6Mortagua24106821:24-336
    7Os Marialvas24105933:27635
    8Peniche24761128:39-1127
    9Fatima24681020:28-826
    10Lajense24681031:33-226
    11Marinhense24591016:30-1424
    12Samora Correia24651321:32-1123
    13Electrico ✔ 24541532:57-2519
    14SC Lusitania ✔ 24451522:41-1917

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
    Electrico is Relegated to
    SC Lusitania is Relegated to