Result
1:1
21/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 13
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 78', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
SC Lusitânia
35.7% | Draw
31.1% | Peniche
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Peniche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
SC Lusitânia - Peniche Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↑
(2.32) |
2.9 ↓
(3.2) |
2.71 ↓
(2.76) |
11%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for SC Lusitânia - Peniche?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. SC Lusitânia (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - SC Lusitânia (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - SC Lusitânia (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - SC Lusitânia (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - SC Lusitânia (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. SC Lusitânia (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 7).
- SC Lusitânia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Peniche has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- SC Lusitânia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, SC Lusitânia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, SC Lusitânia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has SC Lusitânia won against Peniche?
SC Lusitânia has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peniche won against SC Lusitânia?
Peniche has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SC Lusitânia - Peniche were as follows:
03.03.2024
Peniche
-
SC Lusitânia
1:4
19.11.2023
SC Lusitânia
-
Peniche
1:0
Latest results of SC Lusitânia
Latest results of Peniche
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:7 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 35:19 | 16 | 35 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Mortagua | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 32 |
| 5 | Oliveira Hospital | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 23:11 | 12 | 31 |
| 6 | Uniao Da Serra | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29:19 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Peniche | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
| 9 | Fatima | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 |
| 10 | Lajense | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 19 |
| 12 | Samora Correia | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 13:25 | -12 | 17 |
| 13 | SC Lusitania | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 16 |
| 14 | Electrico | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 23:47 | -24 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
