Result
1:2
02/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 14
- Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Poland | CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (418/500) | 72% (179/249) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (418/500) | 72% (179/249) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (22/39) | 47% (28/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (125/165) | 58% (59/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 48% (11/23) | 55% (6/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Repka O. ⚽, Ameyaw M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 0 - 2, Repka O. ⚽,
- 55', Silva J. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
- 73', Barath P. 🟨,
- 74', Pelmard A. ↓, Stojinovic D. ↑,
- 74', Lozano S. ↓, Flach L. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 2, Pululu A. ⚽, Wdowik B. (A),
- 81', Jozwiak K. 🟨,
- 83', Pozo A. 🟨,
- 83', Makuch P. 🟨,
- 84', Pululu A. 🟨,
- 86', Pienko T. ↓, Bulat M. ↑,
- 86', Brunes J. ↓, Adriano ↑,
- 88', Pozo A. ↓, Wojtuszek N. ↑,
- 90+5', Jozwiak K. ↓, Prip L. ↑,
- 90+7', Repka O. ↓, Struski K. ↑,
- 90+7', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Rondic I. ↑,
- 90+17', Flach L. 🟨,
- 90+21', Vital B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jagiellonia Białystok
40.3% | Draw
27.7% | Raków Częstochowa
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jagiellonia Białystok's performance.Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raków Częstochowa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jagiellonia Białystok that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raków Częstochowa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jagiellonia Białystok - Raków Częstochowa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↓
(2.73) |
3.39 ↓
(3.64) |
2.87 ↑
(2.4) |
6.7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Raków Częstochowa?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Raków will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 41.5% – 84.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 2 - 50%). Raków (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Jagiellonia (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 3 - 60%). Raków (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 2.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Jagiellonia: Abramowicz S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z.
(Leg Injury)
Kochergin V.
(Knee Injury)
Otieno E.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Raków: Mosor A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 1.4:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Raków Częstochowa?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Raków Częstochowa has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
10.05.2025
Raków Częstochowa
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
1:2
10.11.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Raków Częstochowa
2:2
10.12.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Raków Częstochowa
4:2
22.07.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
3:0
24.02.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Raków Częstochowa
1:2
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 40:34 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31:29 | 2 | 34 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 33 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 33 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 30 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 37:34 | 3 | 29 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:45 | 1 | 28 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 21:38 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Legia | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 27:29 | -2 | 25 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 29:33 | -4 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
