Result
2:0
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 30
- Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (337/430) | 68% (209/309) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (337/430) | 68% (209/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (22/72) | 26% (19/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (47/82) | 51% (44/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (8/26) | 24% (6/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.69 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.81 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Barker C. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Anderson M. ⚽, Barker C. (A),
- 31', Oxley M. ↓, Gray H. ↑,
- 32', Headman C. ↓, Cass L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Anderson M. ↓, Bajrami G. ↑,
- 47', Williams J. 🟨,
- 66', 2 - 0, Flint J. ⚽, Darcy R. (A),
- 67', Richards T. ↓, McKirdy H. ↑,
- 67', Russell J. ↓, Richards L. ↑,
- 68', Marsh A. ↓, Thomson G. ↑,
- 75', Acquah E. ↓, Muldoon J. ↑,
- 75', Smith R. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
- 76', Gordon K. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
- 87', Williams J. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Crawley Town
59.2% | Draw
22.8% | Harrogate Town
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-15.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crawley Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Harrogate Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Crawley Town - Harrogate Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.67) |
4.08 ↑
(3.62) |
5.23 ↑
(4.72) |
7.2%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Harrogate Town?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Harrogate will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Harrogate (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Harrogate (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 4.
- Crawley is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Harrogate has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Crawley has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Crawley is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Crawley: Cashman D.
(Inactive)
Flower L.
(Inactive)
Malone S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M.
(Inactive)
Bradbury T.
(Injury)
Duke-McKenna S.
(Injury)
Faulkner B.
(Inactive)
Fox B.
(Inactive)
McCoulsky S.
(Inactive)
Sutton L.
(Inactive)
Taylor E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Hill T.
(Injury)
O'Connor A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Harrogate Town?
Crawley Town has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Crawley Town?
Harrogate Town has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Harrogate Town were as follows:
06.09.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Crawley Town
0:1
09.03.2024
Harrogate Town
-
Crawley Town
1:2
25.11.2023
Crawley Town
-
Harrogate Town
2:1
11.03.2023
Crawley Town
-
Harrogate Town
3:1
Latest results of Crawley Town
Latest results of Harrogate Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
