Result
0:1
03/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 4
- Referee: Laane K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Baranov N. 🟨,
- 22', Tur E. ↓, Nigula R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', 0 - 1, Cham P. A. ⚽, Piht K. (A),
- 65', Talu R. ↓, Roivassepp G. ↑,
- 65', Demidov E. ↓, Leivategija M. ↑,
- 65', Jobarteh M. ↓, Badamosi A. ↑,
- 65', Piht K. ↓, Luts D. ↑,
- 74', Cham P. A. ↓, Luts S. ↑,
- 88', Sohna M. P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kuressaare
13% | Draw
20.2% | Paide LM
66.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kuressaare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Paide LM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paide LM could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kuressaare - Paide LM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.06 ↓
(7.5) |
4.55 ↓
(5.15) |
1.38 ↑
(1.32) |
8.7%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kuressaare - Paide LM?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Kuressaare will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Paide will win (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kuressaare (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 0.
- Kuressaare has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Paide is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Paide is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:40. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kuressaare won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1.1:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kuressaare won against Paide LM?
Kuressaare has won 2 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paide LM won against Kuressaare?
Paide LM has won 12 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kuressaare - Paide LM were as follows:
04.10.2025
Kuressaare
-
Paide LM
1:1
16.08.2025
Paide LM
-
Kuressaare
5:1
13.08.2025
Kuressaare
-
Paide LM
1:2
04.05.2025
Paide LM
-
Kuressaare
1:1
02.03.2025
Kuressaare
-
Paide LM
1:2
Latest results of Kuressaare
Latest results of Paide LM
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kalju | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | Levadia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Paide | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Harju JK Laagri | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Narva | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Tammeka | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 7 | Flora | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Nomme Utd | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
| 10 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:15 | -9 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
