Result
3:0
02/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 32
- Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Mexico | FOX One, FOX Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.00 | 1.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (260/329) | 85% (387/455) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.00 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.01 | 2.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (260/329) | 85% (387/455) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (14/43) | 57% (24/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (83/121) | 78% (104/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 52% (12/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.79 | 3.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.79 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Abline M. 🟨,
- 26', Machado D. ↓, Acapandie M. ↑,
- 31', Timber Q. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Aubameyang P. ↓, Lago E. ↑,
- 46', Timber Q. ↓, Paixao I. ↑,
- 49', Lago E. 🟨,
- 50', 1 - 0, Ganago I. ⚽, Abline M. (A),
- 54', 2 - 0, Cabella R. ⚽, Ganago I. (A),
- 58', 3 - 0, Abline M. ⚽, Kaba M. (A),
- 65', Vermeeren A. ↓, Gouiri A. ↑,
- 69', Cabella R. ↓, Leroux L. ↑,
- 69', Kaba M. ↓, Coquelin F. ↑,
- 79', Sissoko I. ↓, Radakovic U. ↑,
- 79', Guilbert F. ↓, Ali Youssef ↑,
- 81', Medina F. 🟨,
- 88', Balerdi L. ↓, Hamzaoui H. ↑,
- 90+4', Traore H. J. ↓, Lamare El Kadmiri U. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nantes
21.8% | Draw
23.5% | Olympique Marseille
54.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Nantes - Olympique Marseille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.42 ↓
(5.06) |
4.06 ↓
(4.11) |
1.75 ↑
(1.62) |
4.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Nantes - Olympique Marseille?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Olympique Marseille will win
(40 of 48 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.79% – 93.87%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olympique Marseille will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Marseille may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Nantes has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Marseille is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Nantes: Amian K.
(Injury)
Centonze F.
(Injury)
Tabibou D.
(Yellow Cards)
Tati T.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Marseille: Aguerd N.
(Groin Injury)
Egan-Riley C.
(Injury)
Kondogbia G.
(Thigh Injury)
Nadir B.
(Injury)
Pavard B.
(Yellow Cards)
Weah T.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Olympique Marseille?
Nantes has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Nantes?
Olympique Marseille has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
04.01.2026
Olympique Marseille
-
Nantes
0:2
02.03.2025
Olympique Marseille
-
Nantes
2:0
03.11.2024
Nantes
-
Olympique Marseille
1:2
10.03.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Nantes
2:0
01.09.2023
Nantes
-
Olympique Marseille
1:1
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70:27 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61:33 | 28 | 64 |
| 3 | Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52:34 | 18 | 60 |
| 4 | Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:35 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56:46 | 10 | 56 |
| 6 | Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | Marseille | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 59:44 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 50:41 | 9 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 44:49 | -5 | 42 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 45:45 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 44:47 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 | Brest | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 41:51 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27:46 | -19 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Nice | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36:58 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29:51 | -22 | 23 |
| 18 | Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32:72 | -40 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
