Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 7
- Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 2.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (144/197) | 88% (456/519) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 2.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 2.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (144/197) | 88% (456/519) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (18/45) | 45% (19/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (37/60) | 81% (104/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 29% (10/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.27 | 1.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.27 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Sartori F. ⚽,
- 10', 1 - 1, Lopez H. ⚽, Gimenez M. (A),
- 17', 2 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽, Studer S. (A),
- 23', Studer S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bottari T. 🟨,
- 46', Retamar K. ↓, Cardillo M. ↑,
- 53', Gomez L. 🟨,
- 56', Costa L. 🟨,
- 58', Lescano A. 🟨,
- 63', Costa L. 🟨,
- 67', Oroz N. ↓, Giaccone L. ↑,
- 67', Sartori F. ↓, Osella A. ↑,
- 67', Gomez L. ↓, Souto P. ↑,
- 74', Fernandez M. ↓, Bonifacio E. ↑,
- 78', Lozano L. ↓, Gho J. ↑,
- 78', Cardozo J. ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
- 79', Souto P. 🟨,
- 86', Lescano A. ↓, Porcel D. ↑,
- 86', Prieto S. ↓, Viveros E. ↑,
- 88', Amarfil M. ↓, Bucca L. ↑,
- 90+1', Centurion E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente Rivadavia
30.6% | Draw
32.2% | Argentinos Juniors
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Rivadavia's form might have worsened.Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Rivadavia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentinos Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.09 ↑
(2.5) |
2.89 ↓
(3.2) |
2.55 ↓
(2.9) |
6.2%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Argentinos Juniors: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9).
- Independiente R has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Argentinos Juniors is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Independiente R may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Independiente R: Peinipil M.
(Injury)
Ramis V.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Sanchez L.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Rivadavia won against Argentinos Juniors?
Independiente Rivadavia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Argentinos Juniors won against Independiente Rivadavia?
Argentinos Juniors has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors were as follows:
24.02.2025
Argentinos Juniors
-
Independiente Rivadavia
0:0
02.12.2024
Independiente Rivadavia
-
Argentinos Juniors
2:1
20.02.2024
Argentinos Juniors
-
Independiente Rivadavia
2:1
Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
Latest results of Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 | Tigre | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | Estudiantes L.P | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Huracan | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Argentinos Jrs | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 10 | Banfield | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Belgrano | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 6 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Lanus | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 20 |
| 4 | River Plate | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Rosario Central | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 13 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Instituto | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 12 |
| 11 | San Martin S.J | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Platense | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Independiente | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
