Independiente Rivadavia vs Argentinos Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
3:1
11/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
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uruguayUruguayDisney+
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.280.14
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
71
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
54
Passes
80% (269/336)82% (325/395)
Yellow cards
44
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.280.14
xG on target (xGOT)
2.090.03
Total shots
117
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
46
Blocked shots
00
Shots inside the box
84
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
20
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
219
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1713
Passes
80% (269/336)82% (325/395)
Long passes
50% (34/68)54% (33/61)
Passes in final third
59% (48/82)62% (48/77)
Crosses
58% (11/19)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.35
Throw ins
811
Fouls
1317
Tackles
69% (11/16)61% (11/18)
Duels won
5752
Clearances
2214
Interceptions
83
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
03
xGOT faced
0.032.09
Goals prevented
-0.97-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Elordi J. M. ⚽, Fernandez M. (A),
  • 16', Lopez H. 🟥,
  • 19', Costa L. ↓, Villalba I. ↑,
  • 20', Fattori F. 🟨,
  • 23', 2 - 0, Bucca L. ⚽, Atencio R. (A),
  • 39', Fernandez M. 🟨,
  • 41', Riquelme R. D. 🟨,
  • 41', Cortes B. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Bonifacio E. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 2 - 1, Prieto S. ⚽, Morales I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Bonifacio E. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
  • 46', Sartori F. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
  • 52', 3 - 1, Osella A. ⚽, Elordi J. M. (A),
  • 54', Fernandez M. ↓, Florentin Bobadilla J. I. ↑,
  • 55', Viveros E. ↓, Jainikoski F. ↑,
  • 66', Bottari T. 🟨,
  • 67', Oroz N. ↓, Porcel D. ↑,
  • 67', Fattori F. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
  • 67', Bucca L. ↓, Villa S. ↑,
  • 76', Lescano A. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
  • 76', Morales I. ↓, Carrizo F. ↑,
  • 82', Villalba I. 🟨,
  • 85', Coronel K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Independiente Rivadavia
31.4%		Draw
33.6%		Argentinos Juniors
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 32.8% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3% 34.3% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-3%)
    •

    Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3 ↑
    (2.74)    		 2.83 ↑
    (2.82)    		 2.7 ↓
    (2.76)    		 5.8%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 11 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Argentinos Juniors: 29.1% – 70.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Argentinos Juniors (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Argentinos Juniors will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 3.
    • Independiente R is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Argentinos Juniors is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Independiente R: Macagno R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Alvarez F. (Yellow Cards) Gho J. (Knee Injury) Gimenez M. (Knee Injury) Lozano L. (Inactive) Rodriguez D. (Knee Injury) Veron G. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Independiente R: Costa L. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors were as follows:
    05.11.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors 3:2
    30.08.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors 2:1
    24.02.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia 0:0
    02.12.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors 2:1
    20.02.2024 Argentinos Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia 2:1
    Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
    07.04.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Bolívar 1:0 ✺
    02.04.2026 Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia 0:2 ✺
    22.03.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Rosario Central 2:0 ✺
    15.03.2026 Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Rivadavia 2:3 ✺
    11.03.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Argentinos Juniors
    06.04.2026 Argentinos Juniors - Banfield 3:2 ✺
    31.03.2026 Aldosivi - Argentinos Juniors 0:2 ✺
    26.03.2026 Argentinos Juniors - Lanús 2:1 ✺
    22.03.2026 Argentinos Juniors - Platense 1:0 ✺
    15.03.2026 Tigre - Argentinos Juniors 1:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P1373316:7924
    2Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    3Boca Juniors1356215:8721
    4Union de Santa Fe1354419:14519
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Independiente1346319:16318
    8Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    9San Lorenzo1346312:12018
    10Instituto1352614:15-117
    11Platense133737:8-116
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1334610:16-613
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1324710:23-1310
    15Dep. Riestra130763:10-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 1392223:131029
    2River Plate1382319:91026
    3Argentinos Jrs1365214:10423
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1363415:13221
    6Huracan1355315:10520
    7Barracas Central1354413:12119
    8Tigre1346316:12418
    9Racing Club1353515:13218
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1324713:18-510
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1312104:19-155

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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