Louisville City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Football USL Championship Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Result
2:1
07/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Wiseman T. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.75
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
79% (306/386)81% (383/473)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.621.08
Total shots
119
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
219
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
79% (306/386)81% (383/473)
Long passes
47% (25/53)40% (20/50)
Passes in final third
61% (90/148)65% (55/85)
Crosses
30% (9/30)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.89
Throw-ins
3218
Fouls
1511
Tackles
81% (13/16)75% (15/20)
Duels won
4462
Clearances
1052
Interceptions
223
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.081.62
Goals prevented
0.08-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Goodrum P. ⚽, McFadden A. (A),
  • 16', 2 - 0, Serrano R. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
  • 17', Ordonez A. 🟨,
  • 29', Goodrum P. 🟨,
  • 31', 2 - 1, Pacius W. ⚽, Bassett O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Ordonez A. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
  • 55', Moon N. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
  • 55', Bassett O. ↓, Hilton L. ↑,
  • 71', Davila E. ↓, Lambert K. ↑,
  • 71', Goodrum P. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
  • 76', Fernandes L. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
  • 76', Bodily B. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
  • 77', Hilton L. 🟨,
  • 80', Davila T. 🟨,
  • 83', Davila T. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,
  • 83', Serrano R. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
  • 87', Castellanos R. ↓, Mustali E. ↑,
  • 89', McCabe N. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Louisville City
61.1%		Draw
22.5%		Tampa Bay Rowdies
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63% 23.4% 13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7% 21.1% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
    •

    Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.51 ↑
    (1.47)    		 4.1 ↑
    (3.96)    		 5.65 ↓
    (6.79)    		 8.2%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Louisville City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 2.
    • Louisville City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tampa Bay's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Louisville City is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City 1:2
    12.10.2024 Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:1
    15.06.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City 3:2
    14.10.2023 Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:3
    09.09.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City 2:1
    Latest results of Louisville City
    31.05.2025 Loudoun United - Louisville City 2:1
    24.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Louisville City 0:2
    17.05.2025 Hartford Athletic - Louisville City 1:1
    10.05.2025 Louisville City - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0:0
    07.05.2025 Louisville City - Minnesota United 0:1
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
    31.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - South Georgia Tormenta 2:1
    24.05.2025 Lexington - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:1
    17.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Rhode Island 0:3
    10.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Charleston Battery 1:3
    07.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Orlando City 0:5 ✺
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 27206154:193566
    2Charleston ✔ 26174554:292555
    3North Carolina271251039:37241
    4Loudoun271161043:45-239
    5Hartford Athletic261151040:291138
    6Pittsburgh271071027:27037
    7Detroit27981031:32-135
    8Indy Eleven27951340:47-732
    9Rhode Island26871120:26-631
    10Tampa Bay27861339:42-330
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC27661525:41-1624


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 27148544:291550
    2Sacramento Republic26128639:211844
    3New Mexico271341037:34343
    4San Antonio26107934:32237
    5El Paso27910842:38437
    6Lexington27981028:35-735
    7Colorado Springs27971134:39-534
    8Phoenix Rising27712845:48-333
    9Orange County SC26871138:41-331
    10Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    11Oakland Roots26761333:44-1127
    12Las Vegas Lights26671319:43-2425

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
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