Result
3:4
16/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Romero B. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 2.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (232/313) | 77% (268/349) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 2.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 3.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (232/313) | 77% (268/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (35/64) | 40% (25/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (40/83) | 63% (50/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 100% (4/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.47 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.53 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Araujo S. ⚽,
- 31', 0 - 2, Iturbe J. ⚽, Riveros B. (A),
- 33', 1 - 2, Ramirez I. ⚽,
- 43', Benitez Cabrera A. J. 🟨,
- 45', Carrizo F. 🟨,
- 45+1', 2 - 2, Quintana Rodriguez L. A. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Martinez L. ↓, Servin T. ↑,
- 62', Barbotte A. 🟨,
- 66', Ramirez I. 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 3, Carrizo F. (Pen),
- 71', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Mendieta W. ↑,
- 71', Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↓, Torales R. ↑,
- 73', Araujo S. ↓, Aliseda I. ↑,
- 73', Marcelino J. ↓, Morel J. ↑,
- 73', Iturbe J. ↓, Dominguez C. ↑,
- 76', Dominguez F. 🟨,
- 76', Manzur A. 🟨,
- 78', 2 - 4, Amarilla L. ⚽, Aliseda I. (A),
- 79', 3 - 4, Maidana A. ⚽,
- 82', Zaracho S. ↓, Mino Amarilla C. E. ↑,
- 83', Barbotte A. ↓, Perez D. ↑,
- 83', Carrizo F. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
- 83', Amarilla L. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
- 88', Mendieta W. 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guaraní Asuncion
28.3% | Draw
29.4% | Cerro Porteño
42.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Porteño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.56 ↓
(3.66) |
3.35 ↑
(3.25) |
2.26 ↑
(2.02) |
2.3%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 3.
- Guaraní is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Cerro Porteño is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Guaraní may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cerro Porteño could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Cerro Porteño?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Cerro Porteño has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
10.05.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
0:2
02.03.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
0:1
16.11.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:2
31.08.2024
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
1:0
22.05.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:0
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26:9 | 17 | 22 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Sportivo Trinidense | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 17 |
| 4 | Sp. Luqueno | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Nacional Asuncion | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Olimpia Asuncion | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | General Caballero JLM | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 11 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
