Independiente Rivadavia vs Sarmiento de Junín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
03/02/2026 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 3
  • Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN, ESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.041.36
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
1916
Shots on target
86
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
41
Passes
68% (184/269)77% (306/399)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
2.041.36
xG on target (xGOT)
2.711.53
Total shots
1916
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
87
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
167
Shots outside the box
39
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
2820
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
1010
Passes
68% (184/269)77% (306/399)
Long passes
35% (23/66)50% (26/52)
Passes in final third
58% (68/118)56% (58/103)
Crosses
20% (3/15)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.921.12
Throw ins
1822
Fouls
1010
Tackles
53% (8/15)40% (6/15)
Duels won
5264
Clearances
2836
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper saves
56
xGOT faced
1.532.71
Goals prevented
0.530.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Villalba C. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Sartori F. ,
  • 23', Arismendi Y. 🟨,
  • 41', Salle S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Gomez J. , Contrera J. ,
  • 46', Arismendi Y. , Cabrera J. M. ,
  • 52', 2 - 0, Osella A. ,
  • 61', Villalba C. , Martinez M. ,
  • 62', Salle S. , Marabel J. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Marabel J. , Renteria J. (A),
  • 72', Sartori F. , Dadin B. ,
  • 72', Fernandez M. , Rios G. ,
  • 81', Osella A. , Bonifacio E. ,
  • 83', Renteria J. , Marquez B. ,
  • 88', Florentin Bobadilla J. I. , Moreyra S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente Rivadavia
52.2%
Draw
29.4%
Sarmiento de Junín
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 30.4% 26.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Rivadavia's performance.
  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarmiento de Junín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Independiente Rivadavia - Sarmiento de Junín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.1)
    3.21
    (3)
    5.07
    (3.5)
    5.7%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Sarmiento de Junín?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Independiente R (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Independiente R (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Independiente Rivadavia will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Independiente Rivadavia will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente R (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 1.
    • In this match, Independiente R is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Independiente R: Sequeira L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Diaz G. (Inactive) Garcia M. (Inactive) Godoy J. (Inactive) Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.5:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
    26.05.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente Rivadavia 0:1
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1576220:81227
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1475215:9626
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1574416:12425
    5Lanus ✔ 1565418:15323
    6San Lorenzo1557313:12122
    7Independiente1556422:19321
    8Union de Santa Fe1454521:17419
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1544710:19-916
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra151775:12-710


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    4Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1475215:10526
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1456316:11521
    8Barracas Central1556414:13121
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1543815:18-315
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)