Result
0:1
27/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.64 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (271/403) | 47% (110/233) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (271/403) | 47% (110/233) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (32/81) | 26% (19/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (89/149) | 41% (41/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.36 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 72 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | 0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Boldyrev M. ↓, Loncar S. ↑,
- 46', Filin A. ↓, Anderson E. ↑,
- 54', 0 - 1, Benchimol ⚽, Djakovac I. (A),
- 60', Yenne T. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
- 67', Benchimol 🟨,
- 68', Titkov N. ↓, Mourid A. ↑,
- 68', Beveev M. ↓, Mendel A. ↑,
- 68', Belikov I. ↓, Ryadno M. ↑,
- 74', Maradishvili K. ↓, Djurasovic A. ↑,
- 79', Djakovac I. ↓, Kuzmin M. ↑,
- 81', Anderson E. 🟨,
- 83', Nedelcearu I. 🟨,
- 90+3', Khosonov K. ↓, Bazilevskiy N. ↑,
- 90+5', Gudiev V. 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
- 90+8', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Baltika Kaliningrad
59.8% | Draw
23.3% | Akron Tolyatti
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Baltika Kaliningrad - Akron Tolyatti Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.52) |
4.05 ↑
(4) |
5.57 ↓
(6) |
6.1%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Baltika Kaliningrad - Akron Tolyatti?
Users Predictions:
Baltika Kaliningrad will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 3.
- In recent matches, Baltika has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Akron is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Akron may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Baltika is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Baltika: Civic E.
(Inactive)
Petrov I.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:4. (average 1.7:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Baltika won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Baltika Kaliningrad won against Akron Tolyatti?
Baltika Kaliningrad has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Akron Tolyatti won against Baltika Kaliningrad?
Akron Tolyatti has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baltika Kaliningrad - Akron Tolyatti were as follows:
01.10.2025
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Akron Tolyatti
3:0
31.08.2025
Akron Tolyatti
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
0:2
29.07.2025
Akron Tolyatti
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
2:1
19.03.2023
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Akron Tolyatti
1:1
27.08.2022
Akron Tolyatti
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
1:3
Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad
Latest results of Akron Tolyatti
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 56:21 | 35 | 63 |
| 2 | Zenit | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 50:18 | 32 | 62 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 52:36 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Baltika | 28 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 37:18 | 19 | 46 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 39:31 | 8 | 45 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 26:26 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 22:30 | -8 | 30 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 31:48 | -17 | 29 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 33:46 | -13 | 27 |
| 13 | Orenburg | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 26 |
| 14 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 23:46 | -23 | 22 |
| 16 | Sochi | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 27:57 | -30 | 21 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
