Result
2:3
17/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (292/351) | 84% (323/383) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 2.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (292/351) | 84% (323/383) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (40/61) | 49% (22/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (74/101) | 74% (103/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.06 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.02 | 2.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.98 | 0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 24', Lovera J. 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 1, Estupinan A. ⚽,
- 38', 1 - 1, Renteria A. ⚽,
- 42', 1 - 2, Morelo W. ⚽, Velasco E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Angulo Castro B. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
- 46', Hinestroza J. ↓, Bustamante R. ↑,
- 49', Perlaza J. 🟨,
- 50', Pisano M. 🟨,
- 53', Chavez D. 🟨,
- 54', Gil N. 🟨,
- 58', 2 - 2, Renteria A. ⚽,
- 61', Mancilla H. ↓, Goez Y. ↑,
- 62', Chavez D. ↓, Serje Orozco E. C. ↑,
- 62', Pisano M. ↓, Micolta Piedahita J. ↑,
- 62', Lopez D. 🟨,
- 67', Moreno Y. ↓, Lenis K. ↑,
- 75', Morelo W. ↓, Cordoba S. ↑,
- 75', Perlaza J. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
- 75', Renteria A. ↓, Mejia J. ↑,
- 82', Garavito M. 🟨,
- 83', Jopito ↓, Camargo J. ↑,
- 84', Serje Orozco E. C. 🟨,
- 85', Bustamante R. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 3, Serje Orozco E. C. ⚽, Gil M. (A),
Chances of winning
Jaguares de Córdoba
32.9% | Draw
32.2% | Deportivo Pasto
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaguares de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguares de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportivo Pasto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.82) |
2.92 ↓
(3.18) |
2.68 ↑
(2.49) |
6.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportivo Pasto?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Jaguares de Córdoba will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jaguares de Córdoba: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaguares de Córdoba won 1.
- Jaguares de Córdoba is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Deportivo Pasto is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Deportivo Pasto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jaguares de Córdoba won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jaguares de Córdoba won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Jaguares de Córdoba won against Deportivo Pasto?
Jaguares de Córdoba has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Jaguares de Córdoba?
Deportivo Pasto has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:
03.08.2024
Jaguares de Córdoba
-
Deportivo Pasto
0:0
05.02.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Jaguares de Córdoba
1:1
20.10.2023
Jaguares de Córdoba
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:0
08.09.2023
Deportivo Pasto
-
Jaguares de Córdoba
1:0
07.05.2023
Deportivo Pasto
-
Jaguares de Córdoba
4:0
Latest results of Jaguares de Córdoba
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 | Ind. Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
