Result
1:0
02/04/2026 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Bautista J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (213/291) | 83% (397/479) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (213/291) | 83% (397/479) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (16/58) | 59% (33/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (33/61) | 68% (122/180) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 23% (6/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 2.63 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (17/17) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Elizalde E. 🟨,
- 40', Mosquera F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mejia J. ↓, Rodriguez Urango D. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 0, Moreno Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 59', Samuel M. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 69', Jopito ↓, De La Rosa W. ↑,
- 73', Contreras R. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
- 73', Silva D. ↓, Viveros S. ↑,
- 75', Moreno Y. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
- 79', Llinas A. ↓, Campaz B. ↑,
- 79', Garcia M. ↓, Quintero D. ↑,
- 90+1', Mosquera F. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
- 90+1', Ordonez C. ↓, Lovera J. ↑,
- 90+2', Novoa D. 🟨,
- 90+7', Martinez D. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mppsas3y
Chances of winning
Jaguares de Córdoba
21.6% | Draw
26.5% | Millonarios
51.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaguares de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaguares de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Jaguares de Córdoba - Millonarios Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.29 ↑
(4.14) |
3.53 ↑
(3.37) |
1.81 ↓
(1.88) |
7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Jaguares de Córdoba - Millonarios?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Jaguares de Córdoba will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Millonarios will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millonarios: 35.9% – 97.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaguares de Córdoba won 2.
- Jaguares de Córdoba is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Millonarios is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Millonarios is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jaguares de Córdoba won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jaguares de Córdoba won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Jaguares de Córdoba won against Millonarios?
Jaguares de Córdoba has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Jaguares de Córdoba?
Millonarios has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jaguares de Córdoba - Millonarios were as follows:
25.09.2024
Millonarios
-
Jaguares de Córdoba
0:0
10.03.2024
Jaguares de Córdoba
-
Millonarios
2:1
13.08.2023
Jaguares de Córdoba
-
Millonarios
2:0
18.02.2023
Millonarios
-
Jaguares de Córdoba
2:1
Latest results of Jaguares de Córdoba
Latest results of Millonarios
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
