Toronto FC II vs Chattanooga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro
Soccer MLS Next Pro Toronto FC II - Chattanooga
Result
1:2
09/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II - Chattanooga - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.63
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
90% (535/597)83% (301/361)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.571.31
Total shots
137
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2015
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
17
Free Kicks
1418
Passes
90% (535/597)83% (301/361)
Long passes
55% (26/47)66% (44/67)
Passes in final third
80% (135/169)72% (64/89)
Crosses
14% (3/22)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.73
Throw-ins
1521
Fouls
1814
Tackles
52% (11/21)77% (10/13)
Duels won
5136
Clearances
1227
Interceptions
213
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.310.57
Goals prevented
-0.69-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Plougmand P. ⚽, Robertson T. (A),
  • 35', Chisholm M. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 2, Kwak Min-Jae ⚽, Plougmand P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fortier T. ↓, McDonald P. ↑,
  • 46', Nugent J. ↓, Nolan J. ↑,
  • 46', Bossenberry A. ↓, Ayari H. ↑,
  • 63', Kwak Min-Jae ↓, Ancelin K. ↑,
  • 65', Edwards N. ↓, Iliadis C. ↑,
  • 65', Chukwu R. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
  • 79', Watson C. 🟨,
  • 79', Brown L. ↓, Garvanian M. ↑,
  • 82', Barrow D. 🟨,
  • 87', Plougmand P. ↓, Naglestad M. ↑,
  • 87', Mangarov D. ↓, Thomas C. ↑,
  • 88', 1 - 2, Nolan J. ⚽, McDonald P. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Toronto FC II
27.8%		Draw
24.2%		Chattanooga
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 24.7% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 24.3% 38.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto FC II's form might have worsened.
  • Chattanooga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chattanooga's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto FC II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chattanooga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Toronto FC II - Chattanooga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.39 ↑
    (2.48)    		 3.9 ↑
    (3.73)    		 1.96 ↓
    (2.4)    		 6.1%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:7. (average 1.5:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC II - Chattanooga were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Toronto FC II - Chattanooga 1:5
    03.08.2024 Chattanooga - Toronto FC II 2:1
    Latest results of Toronto FC II
    04.05.2025 Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II 3:4
    25.04.2025 Toronto FC II - Chicago Fire II 2:0
    18.04.2025 Toronto FC II - Carolina Core 1:2
    10.04.2025 Inter Miami II - Toronto FC II 0:1 ✺
    28.03.2025 New England Revolution II - Toronto FC II 4:0
    Latest results of Chattanooga
    03.05.2025 Chattanooga - Philadelphia Union II 0:1
    27.04.2025 Columbus Crew 2 - Chattanooga 3:0
    19.04.2025 Chattanooga - Crown Legacy 2:1
    13.04.2025 Carolina Core - Chattanooga 1:4
    05.04.2025 Chattanooga - Orlando City B 2:0
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2161012339:2834
    2Philadelphia Union II14742133:1131
    3Chicago Fire II15722428:2427
    4New England Revolution II14541421:1824
    5New York City II16523630:3322
    6Toronto FC II15603616:2321
    7Cincinnati 215260715:2318
    8Columbus Crew 214312814:2613


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga16822424:2130
    2Huntsville14632329:1726
    3Orlando City B16621723:2923
    4Crown Legacy15334523:2719
    5Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    6Carolina Core15324620:2117
    7Atlanta United 213224519:2314


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County16911530:2430
    2Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    3Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    4Real Monarchs13523325:2222
    5Town FC13522428:1821
    6Portland Timbers 215512726:3119
    7Los Angeles FC II15511823:3118


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2161110432:2235
    2Colorado Rapids 217803628:2627
    3North Texas16721628:3126
    4Austin FC II15533417:1624
    5Houston Dynamo 216531722:2322
    6Minnesota 214602623:2020
    7Sporting Kansas City II14013109:335


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2161012339:2834
    2Philadelphia Union II14742133:1131
    3Chattanooga16822424:2130
    4Chicago Fire II15722428:2427
    5Huntsville14632329:1726
    6New England Revolution II14541421:1824
    7Orlando City B16621723:2923
    8New York City II16523630:3322
    9Toronto FC II15603616:2321
    10Crown Legacy15334523:2719
    11Cincinnati 215260715:2318
    12Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    13Carolina Core15324620:2117
    14Atlanta United 213224519:2314
    15Columbus Crew 214312814:2613


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2161110432:2235
    2Ventura County16911530:2430
    3Colorado Rapids 217803628:2627
    4North Texas16721628:3126
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    6Austin FC II15533417:1624
    7Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    8Real Monarchs13523325:2222
    9Houston Dynamo 216531722:2322
    10Town FC13522428:1821
    11Minnesota 214602623:2020
    12Portland Timbers 215512726:3119
    13Los Angeles FC II15511823:3118
    14Sporting Kansas City II14013109:335

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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