Result
1:3
02/05/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 33
- Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (454/526) | 86% (368/427) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (454/526) | 86% (368/427) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (32/62) | 60% (29/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (108/148) | 70% (62/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.47 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Ikanga J. ⚽, Cabral K. (A),
- 31', Lemonnier P. ↓, Escartin J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 50', 1 - 1, Ntamack S. ⚽, Leautey A. (A),
- 53', Lo A. 🟨,
- 57', Somon E. ↓, Kandil N. ↑,
- 73', Cabral K. ↓, Ba P. M. ↑,
- 73', Ikanga J. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
- 76', Monconduit T. 🟨,
- 81', Durand D. ↓, Khaoui S. E. ↑,
- 81', Huard M. ↓, Hachem A. ↑,
- 81', Kaiboue K. ↓, Aissat O. ↑,
- 81', Ntamack S. ↓, Rafii Y. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 2, Ba P. M. ⚽, Khaoui S. E. (A),
- 90+1', Lo A. ↓, Louis C. ↑,
- 90+1', Averlant T. ↓, Lutin R. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 3, Benali H. ⚽, Hachem R. (A),
Chances of winning
Amiens
22.5% | Draw
23.9% | Red Star
53.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Amiens - Red Star Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.14 ↑
(3.64) |
3.96 ↑
(3.89) |
1.74 ↓
(1.86) |
6.8%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Amiens - Red Star?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Red Star will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 53.8% – 96.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Red Star (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 3.
- Amiens has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Red Star is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Amiens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Red Star is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Amiens: Appiah A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Lobry V.
(Knee Injury)
Mlakar J.
(Inactive)
Roussillon J.
(Inactive)
Sane I.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Red Star: Cisse K.
(Inactive)
Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Haag G.
(Inactive)
Sylla D.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Amiens won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Amiens won against Red Star?
Amiens has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Amiens?
Red Star has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amiens - Red Star were as follows:
15.08.2025
Red Star
-
Amiens
1:3
26.07.2025
Amiens
-
Red Star
0:2
07.03.2025
Red Star
-
Amiens
2:0
16.08.2024
Amiens
-
Red Star
3:0
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes ✔ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 60:32 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 48:31 | 17 | 59 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 54:38 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 57 |
| 5 | Rodez | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 43:38 | 5 | 55 |
| 6 | Reims | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Annecy | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 48:37 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 40:30 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 45:57 | -12 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 51:42 | 9 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 33 | 7 | 15 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 33:47 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Clermont | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
| 15 | Nancy | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 34 |
| 16 | Laval | 33 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 28:47 | -19 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens ✔ | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 37:60 | -23 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
Clinched Spots for Teams
Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
Amiens is Relegated to National
