Result
0:2
24/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 32
- Referee: Landry R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.15 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (312/368) | 83% (305/369) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (312/368) | 83% (305/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (27/41) | 45% (21/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (102/134) | 60% (38/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (2/23) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.27 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Gueguin A. ⚽, Tchato E. (A),
- 45+3', Averlant T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Molebe E. ↓, Issoufou Y. ↑,
- 68', Kandil N. ↓, Lutin R. ↑,
- 69', Averlant T. ↓, Louis C. ↑,
- 76', Pays N. ↓, Mbuku N. ↑,
- 76', Gueguin A. ↓, Jullien C. ↑,
- 77', Lo A. ↓, Bakayoko S. ↑,
- 77', Kaiboue K. ↓, Alvero S. ↑,
- 80', Monconduit T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Amiens
25.4% | Draw
25.6% | Montpellier
49% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Amiens - Montpellier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.7 ↑
(3.13) |
3.66 ↓
(3.91) |
1.92 ↓
(2.02) |
6.6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Amiens - Montpellier?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Montpellier will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 0.
- Amiens is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Montpellier is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Montpellier is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Amiens: Appiah A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Lobry V.
(Knee Injury)
Louis C.
(Injury)
Mlakar J.
(Inactive)
Roussillon J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Montpellier: Mouanga Y.
(Inactive)
Ngosso G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Amiens: Sane I.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Amiens won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Amiens won against Montpellier?
Amiens has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Amiens?
Montpellier has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amiens - Montpellier were as follows:
29.08.2025
Montpellier
-
Amiens
1:1
06.01.2024
Amiens
-
Montpellier
1:2
Latest results of Montpellier
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes ✔ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 60:32 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 48:31 | 17 | 59 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 54:38 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 57 |
| 5 | Rodez | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 43:38 | 5 | 55 |
| 6 | Reims | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Annecy | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 48:37 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 40:30 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 45:57 | -12 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 51:42 | 9 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 33 | 7 | 15 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 33:47 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Clermont | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
| 15 | Nancy | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 34 |
| 16 | Laval | 33 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 28:47 | -19 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens ✔ | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 37:60 | -23 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
Clinched Spots for Teams
Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
Amiens is Relegated to National
