Result
0:1
05/05/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Promotion - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (356/419) | 88% (447/510) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (356/419) | 88% (447/510) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (26/50) | 54% (26/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (81/116) | 77% (103/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kuster H. ↓, Bakboord N. ↑,
- 46', Fage R. ↓, van der Veen Y. ↑,
- 47', Postma L. 🟨,
- 55', Uneken J. 🟨,
- 60', Uneken J. 🟥,
- 63', 0 - 1, Roemeratoe G. (Own goal),
- 70', Cleonise D. ↓, van Kaam D. ↑,
- 75', Haen D. ↓, El Allouchi M. ↑,
- 75', van Loon P. ↓, Tjoe a On N. ↑,
- 75', Culum A. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
- 81', van Hedel R. ↓, Kramer M. ↑,
- 83', Bamba S. 🟨,
- 83', Kramer M. 🟨,
- 86', Baartmans S. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
Chances of winning
Waalwijk
41% | Draw
27.2% | Willem II
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Waalwijk - Willem II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↓
(2.53) |
3.43 ↑
(3.31) |
2.93 ↑
(2.68) |
6.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Waalwijk - Willem II?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Willem II (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Waalwijk will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 1 - 50%). Willem II (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 1.
- Waalwijk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Willem II is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Willem II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Willem II?
Waalwijk has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Waalwijk?
Willem II has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - Willem II were as follows:
08.02.2026
Willem II
-
Waalwijk
2:1
17.10.2025
Waalwijk
-
Willem II
2:3
26.01.2025
Waalwijk
-
Willem II
2:0
15.09.2024
Willem II
-
Waalwijk
3:0
Latest results of Waalwijk
Latest results of Willem II
Draw
Relegation - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Roda | Waalwijk | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Willem II | |
| 3 | Den Bosch | Almere City | 0 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Bye | De Graafschap | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Waalwijk | Willem II | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Almere City | De Graafschap | |
Semi-finalsFinal
