Waalwijk vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
05/05/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Promotion - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.580.57
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
68
Shots on target
04
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
25
Passes
85% (356/419)88% (447/510)
Yellow cards
31
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.580.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.63
Total shots
68
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
01
Shots inside the box
46
Shots outside the box
22
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1718
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1215
Passes
85% (356/419)88% (447/510)
Long passes
52% (26/50)54% (26/48)
Passes in final third
70% (81/116)77% (103/134)
Crosses
29% (5/17)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.78
Throw ins
1414
Fouls
1512
Tackles
92% (11/12)53% (9/17)
Duels won
4537
Clearances
1823
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
40
xGOT faced
0.630.00
Goals prevented
0.630.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Kuster H. , Bakboord N. ,
  • 46', Fage R. , van der Veen Y. ,
  • 47', Postma L. 🟨,
  • 55', Uneken J. 🟨,
  • 60', Uneken J. 🟥,
  • 63', 0 - 1, Roemeratoe G. (Own goal),
  • 70', Cleonise D. , van Kaam D. ,
  • 75', Haen D. , El Allouchi M. ,
  • 75', van Loon P. , Tjoe a On N. ,
  • 75', Culum A. , Bamba S. ,
  • 81', van Hedel R. , Kramer M. ,
  • 83', Bamba S. 🟨,
  • 83', Kramer M. 🟨,
  • 86', Baartmans S. , van Aalst U. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Waalwijk
41%
Draw
27.2%
Willem II
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 28.2% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 28.7% 34.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Waalwijk - Willem II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.53)
    3.43
    (3.31)
    2.93
    (2.68)
    6.8%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Waalwijk - Willem II?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Willem II (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Waalwijk will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 1 - 50%). Willem II (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 1.
    • Waalwijk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Willem II is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Willem II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - Willem II were as follows:
    08.02.2026 Willem II - Waalwijk 2:1
    17.10.2025 Waalwijk - Willem II 2:3
    26.01.2025 Waalwijk - Willem II 2:0
    15.09.2024 Willem II - Waalwijk 3:0
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    01.05.2026 Waalwijk - Roda 2:1
    28.04.2026 Roda - Waalwijk 1:1
    24.04.2026 Waalwijk - Jong PSV 4:1
    17.04.2026 ADO Den Haag - Waalwijk 5:1
    10.04.2026 Waalwijk - Emmen 5:0
    Latest results of Willem II
    24.04.2026 Dordrecht - Willem II 1:2
    12.04.2026 Willem II - Almere City 2:1
    06.04.2026 Roda - Willem II 0:1
    03.04.2026 Willem II - Jong PSV 1:0
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1RodaWaalwijk1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2ByeWillem II
    3Den BoschAlmere City0 : 3, 2 : 3
    4ByeDe Graafschap

    Quarter-finals
    1WaalwijkWillem II0 : 1
    2Almere CityDe Graafschap

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2

    Final
    1TBD #1Bye