Result
2:1
08/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (364/449) | 81% (315/389) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 2.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (364/449) | 81% (315/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (35/69) | 40% (19/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (98/145) | 73% (64/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (7/37) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.22 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.22 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Kuster H. ⚽, van Hedel R. (A),
- 29', Verheydt T. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 1, Verheydt T. ⚽, Doodeman N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Wouters L. 🟨,
- 68', van Hedel R. ↓, Roemeratoe G. ↑,
- 68', van der Leij T. ↓, Fage R. ↑,
- 68', Familia-Castillo J. ↓, Held N. ↑,
- 71', El Allouchi M. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
- 77', Besselink G. ↓, Zarrouk A. ↑,
- 77', Doodeman N. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Held N. (Own goal),
- 86', Kuster H. ↓, Cleonise D. ↑,
- 86', Wouters L. ↓, Kramer M. ↑,
- 87', Verheydt T. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
- 87', Kramer M. 🟨,
- 90+2', de Leeuw K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Willem II
43.6% | Draw
25.3% | Waalwijk
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Willem II - Waalwijk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.22) |
3.67 ↑
(3.53) |
2.99 ↑
(2.82) |
7.2%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Willem II - Waalwijk?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Willem II will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Willem II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Mathieu D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Waalwijk: Cleonise D.
(Injury)
Kuijpers R.
(Injury)
van Osch Y.
(Injury)
van de Loo T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J.
(Knock)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 2.2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Waalwijk?
Willem II has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Willem II?
Waalwijk has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Waalwijk were as follows:
17.10.2025
Waalwijk
-
Willem II
2:3
26.01.2025
Waalwijk
-
Willem II
2:0
15.09.2024
Willem II
-
Waalwijk
3:0
Latest results of Willem II
Latest results of Waalwijk
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 60:50 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
