Waalwijk vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/05/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Promotion - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN

Chances of winning


Waalwijk
37.6%
Draw
26.5%
Willem II
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 28.2% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 28.7% 34.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Waalwijk - Willem II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.53)
    3.5
    (3.31)
    2.59
    (2.68)
    7.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Waalwijk - Willem II?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Willem II will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 1.
    • Waalwijk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Willem II is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Willem II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - Willem II were as follows:
    08.02.2026 Willem II - Waalwijk 2:1
    17.10.2025 Waalwijk - Willem II 2:3
    26.01.2025 Waalwijk - Willem II 2:0
    15.09.2024 Willem II - Waalwijk 3:0
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    01.05.2026 Waalwijk - Roda 2:1
    28.04.2026 Roda - Waalwijk 1:1
    24.04.2026 Waalwijk - Jong PSV 4:1
    17.04.2026 ADO Den Haag - Waalwijk 5:1
    10.04.2026 Waalwijk - Emmen 5:0
    Latest results of Willem II
    24.04.2026 Dordrecht - Willem II 1:2
    12.04.2026 Willem II - Almere City 2:1
    06.04.2026 Roda - Willem II 0:1
    03.04.2026 Willem II - Jong PSV 1:0
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1RodaWaalwijk1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2ByeWillem II
    3Den BoschAlmere City0 : 3, 2 : 3
    4ByeDe Graafschap

    Quarter-finals
    1WaalwijkWillem II
    2Almere CityDe Graafschap

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2

    Final
    1TBD #1Bye