Result
17/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Willem II
57.2% | Draw
21.7% | Jong AZ Alkmaar
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Willem II's performance.Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jong AZ Alkmaar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Willem II that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jong AZ Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Willem II - Jong AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.88) |
4.3 ↑
(3.95) |
4.41 ↑
(3.37) |
7.3%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 16).
- Willem II is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Jong AZ has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Willem II will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Willem II has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against Willem II?
Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Jong AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
20.10.2025
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Willem II
4:0
12.04.2024
Willem II
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4:1
29.09.2023
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Willem II
0:2
06.03.2023
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Willem II
2:2
16.09.2022
Willem II
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:0
Latest results of Willem II
Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 36 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 82:35 | 47 | 83 |
| 2 | Cambuur ✔ | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 72:44 | 28 | 75 |
| 3 | Willem II | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 54:41 | 13 | 62 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 71:56 | 15 | 60 |
| 5 | Jong PSV | 36 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 65:59 | 6 | 56 |
| 6 | Almere City | 36 | 17 | 4 | 15 | 73:59 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 66:53 | 13 | 55 |
| 8 | Roda | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 57:50 | 7 | 54 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 61:61 | 0 | 50 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 36 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 50:66 | -16 | 44 |
| 12 | Vitesse | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 63:53 | 10 | 43 |
| 13 | Venlo | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 47:55 | -8 | 42 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 55:70 | -15 | 41 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 52:61 | -9 | 39 |
| 16 | Oss | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 48:62 | -14 | 38 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 36 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 59:73 | -14 | 37 |
| 18 | Maastricht | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 41:71 | -30 | 37 |
| 19 | Helmond | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 40:61 | -21 | 36 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 49:71 | -22 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
