Result
3:0
17/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 37
- Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (287/338) | 87% (417/477) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (287/338) | 87% (417/477) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (24/39) | 59% (37/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (55/77) | 72% (122/170) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.71 | -1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Haen D. ⚽, Doodeman N. (A),
- 14', 2 - 0, Baartmans S. ⚽, El Allouchi M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Esajas J. ↓, Inge K. ↑,
- 46', Toppenberg K. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
- 49', Twisk N. 🟨,
- 51', 3 - 0, Stam F. ⚽, van Loon P. (A),
- 51', Oerip J. 🟨,
- 56', Stam F. 🟨,
- 62', Budko B. ↓, Osazuwa S. ↑,
- 68', Doodeman N. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
- 68', Baartmans S. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
- 75', Stam F. ↓, Mathijsen J. ↑,
- 76', Twigt C. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
- 80', Bouziane W. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,
- 85', van Loon P. ↓, Scheepens K. ↑,
- 87', Oerip J. ↓, van Driel B. ↑,
- 87', Zwart J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Willem II
60.8% | Draw
20.2% | Jong AZ Alkmaar
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Willem II's performance.Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jong AZ Alkmaar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Willem II that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jong AZ Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Willem II - Jong AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.88) |
4.59 ↑
(3.95) |
4.95 ↑
(3.37) |
6.7%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Willem II - Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 25.1% – 83.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Willem II (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 17).
- Willem II is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Jong AZ has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Willem II is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Willem II: Hoogma J.
(Yellow Cards)
Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Schuurman J.
(Knock)
- There will not play in Jong AZ: Kwakman D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Willem II: Ciranni A.
(Muscle Injury)
- We predict that Willem II will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Willem II has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against Willem II?
Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Jong AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
20.10.2025
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Willem II
4:0
12.04.2024
Willem II
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4:1
29.09.2023
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Willem II
0:2
06.03.2023
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Willem II
2:2
16.09.2022
Willem II
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:0
Latest results of Willem II
Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
