Result
1:1
10/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Gutierrez C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 63', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 64', 🟨,
- 78', 🟨,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lobos UPNFM
30.7% | Draw
28.1% | Olancho
41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lobos UPNFM's form might have worsened.Olancho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olancho's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lobos UPNFM, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olancho, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lobos UPNFM - Olancho Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.98 ↑
(2.41) |
3.26 ↑
(3.25) |
2.23 ↓
(2.57) |
9%
(11.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lobos UPNFM - Olancho?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Olancho will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 1.
- Recent performances by Lobos UPNFM have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Olancho is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lobos UPNFM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Olancho will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:22. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lobos UPNFM won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against Olancho?
Lobos UPNFM has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olancho won against Lobos UPNFM?
Olancho has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lobos UPNFM - Olancho were as follows:
27.04.2025
Olancho
-
Lobos UPNFM
3:2
22.02.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Olancho
1:1
05.10.2024
Olancho
-
Lobos UPNFM
4:0
03.08.2024
Lobos UPNFM
-
Olancho
1:0
06.04.2024
Lobos UPNFM
-
Olancho
0:1
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Latest results of Olancho
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marathon | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:6 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Olimpia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 17 |
| 3 | Olancho | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Juticalpa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 5 | Platense | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Real Espana | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Motagua | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Genesis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Choloma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:23 | -15 | 4 |
| 11 | Victoria | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:18 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
