Result
03/05/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 30
- Referee: Masiyev E. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Chances of winning
Zira
52.5% | Draw
27.8% | Gabala
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Gabala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zira than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Zira - Gabala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.7) |
3.26 ↓
(3.28) |
4.62 ↓
(4.8) |
10.2%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zira won 5.
- Zira has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Gabala is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Zira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Zira is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zira won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zira won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Zira won against Gabala?
Zira has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gabala won against Zira?
Gabala has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zira - Gabala were as follows:
22.11.2025
Zira
-
Gabala
1:0
25.08.2025
Gabala
-
Zira
1:2
24.04.2024
Gabala
-
Zira
0:2
07.04.2024
Zira
-
Gabala
4:0
03.04.2024
Zira
-
Gabala
2:1
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 69:21 | 48 | 72 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 61:22 | 39 | 59 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 39:20 | 19 | 56 |
| 4 | Neftci Baku | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 17 | 47 |
| 5 | Zira | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 38:32 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Araz | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 39:42 | -3 | 38 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 27:29 | -2 | 35 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 32 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 24:58 | -34 | 24 |
| 11 | Gabala | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 26:45 | -19 | 20 |
| 12 | Karvan | 29 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 21:59 | -38 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
