Result
1:3
20/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 4
- Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (282/355) | 84% (356/425) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 2.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (282/355) | 84% (356/425) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (28/67) | 50% (27/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (64/102) | 71% (80/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (10/27) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Correia O. ⚽, Gabrielloni A. (A),
- 19', 0 - 2, Carissoni L. ⚽, Maistro F. (A),
- 45', Pierobon C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Cassata F. ↓, Kouda R. ↑,
- 46', Artistico G. ↓, Soleri E. ↑,
- 56', Maistro F. ↓, Candellone L. ↑,
- 56', Gabrielloni A. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
- 58', Di Serio G. ↓, Vlahovic V. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 2, Soleri E. ⚽, Esposito Sa. (A),
- 61', 1 - 3, Candellone L. ⚽, Burnete R. (A),
- 64', Correia O. 🟨,
- 65', Varnier M. ↓, Stabile G. ↑,
- 71', Beruatto P. ↓, Aurelio G. ↑,
- 72', Hristov P. ↓, Lapadula G. ↑,
- 79', Ruggero M. 🟨,
- 83', Correia O. ↓, Zuccon F. ↑,
- 83', Pierobon C. ↓, Mosti N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Spezia
24.9% | Draw
34.2% | Juve Stabia
40.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spezia's form might have worsened.Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juve Stabia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+20%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spezia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-15.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juve Stabia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Spezia - Juve Stabia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.3 ↑
(2.12) |
4.3 ↑
(3.2) |
3.34 ↓
(3.88) |
-30.9%
(4.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Spezia - Juve Stabia?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Spezia has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Spezia is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Spezia: Aurelio G.
(Inactive)
Bandinelli F.
(Inactive)
Serpe L.
(Inactive)
Verde D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T.
(Knee Injury)
Bellich M.
(Overload)
Ciammaglichella A.
(Overload)
Morachioli G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Juve Stabia?
Spezia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juve Stabia won against Spezia?
Juve Stabia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Juve Stabia were as follows:
12.01.2025
Spezia
-
Juve Stabia
1:1
10.11.2024
Juve Stabia
-
Spezia
0:3
Latest results of Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Palermo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Cesena | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Modena | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | Avellino | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Sudtirol | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Venezia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Juve Stabia | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Monza | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Padova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 12 | Catanzaro | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Reggiana | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Entella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Pescara | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Empoli | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Mantova | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Bari | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
| 19 | Spezia | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
