Result
3:1
21/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 32
- Referee: Di Marco D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.68 | 1.06 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (439/514) | 81% (327/404) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.68 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (439/514) | 81% (327/404) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (22/48) | 40% (23/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (67/104) | 70% (80/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (10/22) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.59 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 2.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.81 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Aurelio G. ⚽, Romano A. (A),
- 37', Beruatto P. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Leone G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Torrasi E. ↓, Pierobon C. ↑,
- 46', Diakite S. ↓, Varnier M. ↑,
- 52', Bonfanti G. 🟨,
- 56', Adamo E. 🟨,
- 58', Carissoni L. ↓, Ricciardi M. ↑,
- 61', Adamo E. ↓, Valoti M. ↑,
- 67', Gabrielloni A. ↓, Okoro A. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Pierobon C. ⚽, Dalle Mura C. (A),
- 78', Ruggero M. ↓, Vignali L. ↑,
- 78', Beruatto P. ↓, Vlahovic V. ↑,
- 86', Comotto C. ↓, Lapadula G. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 1, Okoro A. ⚽,
- 90+1', Mosti N. ↓, Mannini M. ↑,
- 90+6', Hristov P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Juve Stabia
42% | Draw
31.3% | Spezia
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Juve Stabia - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.24) |
2.99 ↓
(3.15) |
3.49 ↑
(3.16) |
6.9%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Juve Stabia - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Juve Stabia will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Juve Stabia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Juve Stabia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T.
(Knee Injury)
Candellone L.
(Injury)
Giorgini A.
(Yellow Cards)
Maistro F.
(Inactive)
Morachioli G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Zeroli K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Spezia: Bandinelli F.
(Yellow Cards)
Cassata F.
(Muscle Injury)
Di Serio G.
(Inactive)
Sarr M.
(Ankle Injury)
Skjellerup L.
(Inactive)
Zurkowski S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Juve Stabia: Burnete R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Spezia: Hristov P.
(Injury)
Mateju A.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juve Stabia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Juve Stabia won against Spezia?
Juve Stabia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Juve Stabia?
Spezia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juve Stabia - Spezia were as follows:
20.09.2025
Spezia
-
Juve Stabia
1:3
12.01.2025
Spezia
-
Juve Stabia
1:1
10.11.2024
Juve Stabia
-
Spezia
0:3
Latest results of Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 67:28 | 39 | 71 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 64:32 | 32 | 68 |
| 3 | Monza | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Palermo | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 54:27 | 27 | 64 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 50:39 | 11 | 53 |
| 6 | Modena | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 43:28 | 15 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 33 | 10 | 15 | 8 | 39:41 | -2 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 | Avellino | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37:53 | -16 | 39 |
| 12 | Mantova | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 37 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 37 |
| 14 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Padova | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 31:46 | -15 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 34 |
| 18 | Pescara | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 46:59 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 | Spezia | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 32:49 | -17 | 30 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 31:52 | -21 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
