Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 26
  • Referee: Nield T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.580.56
Ball Possession
75%25%
Goal Attempts
98
Shots on Goal
32
Shots off Goal
23
Blocked Shots
43
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
44
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Free Kicks
159
Offsides
73
Fouls
915
Yellow Cards
23
Throw-ins
188
Touches in the Opposition Box
2610
Passes
89% (615/691)63% (143/228)
Passes in the final third
77% (141/182)47% (40/86)
Crosses
18% (4/22)38% (3/8)
Tackles
88% (7/8)52% (15/29)
Clearances Total
1035
Interceptions
1112

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Latte Lath E. , Doak B. (A),
  • 21', 1 - 1, Chambers C. ,
  • 30', O'Dowda C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 65', Tanner O. , Willock C. ,
  • 67', Burgzorg D. , Jones I. ,
  • 75', Doak B. 🟨,
  • 75', Azaz F. , Gilbert A. ,
  • 76', Rinomhota A. 🟨,
  • 79', Ashford C. , Bagan J. ,
  • 79', Colwill R. , Meite Y. ,
  • 80', Robertson A. 🟨,
  • 83', Robertson A. , Ralls J. ,
  • 84', Neto Borges , Engel L. ,
  • 89', Barlaser D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Middlesbrough
61.4%
Draw
22.4%
Cardiff City
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 22.9% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 22.2% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Middlesbrough - Cardiff City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.61)
    4.23
    (4.11)
    5.83
    (5.05)
    5.6%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Cardiff City?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). Cardiff will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 38.6%78%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 4.
    • Middlesbrough is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recent matches Cardiff is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Middlesbrough is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Robinson C. (Red Card) Simic R. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cardiff: Etete K. (Leg Injury) Ramsey A. (Muscle Injury) Tsunoda R. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 28:20 (average 1.4:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:13 (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Cardiff City were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Cardiff City - Middlesbrough 0:2
    27.04.2024 Cardiff City - Middlesbrough 1:4
    03.10.2023 Middlesbrough - Cardiff City 2:0
    11.02.2023 Cardiff City - Middlesbrough 1:3
    13.09.2022 Middlesbrough - Cardiff City 2:3
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry35218672:383471
    2Middlesbrough35199754:351966
    3Ipswich34189760:342663
    4Millwall35188947:40762
    5Hull351861156:49760
    6Wrexham351512854:45957
    7Southampton3514111057:461153
    8Derby351491252:46651
    9Watford3513121045:41451
    10Bristol City351481348:44450
    11Preston3512131041:40149
    12Birmingham3513101246:46049
    13Sheffield Utd351531750:48248
    14Stoke351381439:34547
    15QPR351381446:54-847
    16Swansea351371540:43-346
    17Norwich351361647:44345
    18Charlton3510111433:44-1141
    19Portsmouth341091534:44-1039
    20Blackburn351081733:46-1338
    21West Brom35981834:52-1835
    22Leicester3510101547:56-934
    23Oxford Utd357111731:47-1632
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 35182621:71-50-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One